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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Still Momentb 3y 15 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 60 | 23 (6) | 34 (4) | 40 (1) | 46 (3) | 27 (1) | 37 (3) | 33 (3) | 31 (3) | 32 (4) | - | 7 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 34 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Winterfield Jackd 4y 24 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 36 (3) | 30 (6) | 44 (4) | 36 (1) | 32 (3) | 36 (2) | 37 (3) | 31 (3) | 32 (3) | - | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Whats Up Macd 3y 15 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 31 (4) | 28 (5) | 46 (1) | 25 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (4) | 32 (4) | 26 (6) | 32 (4) | 22 (6) | 37 | 31 | 24 | 26 | 48 | 42 | 2 | 13/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Winterfield Dotb 2y 17 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 52 | 40 (2) | 35 (2) | 21 (2) | 29 (4) | 25 (5) | 40 (3) | 26 (6) | 38 (2) | - | - | 26 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 40 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Noduff Charlied 2y 14 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 67 | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 30 (6) | 38 (5) | 17 (5) | 45 (3) | 42 (6) | 32 (2) | - | - | 33 | 36 | 20 | 35 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bengarth Blaised 6y 24 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 33 (4) | 35 (3) | 26 (6) | 33 (4) | 23 (5) | 36 (2) | 31 (4) | 32 (5) | 27 (6) | 38 (2) | 22 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 33/1 | |
Extraordinary consistency — cons 93 is the highest on the entire Monmore card tonight. She runs the EXACT same race 93% of the time. Fader (EP 57, CS 20) is a moderate Fader who retains just enough late speed to not completely collapse. Best perf at 50 by 2pts. Her form: 51→38→68→41→57 is volatile when you look at peaks and troughs, but the cons 93 means her typical race produces mid-50s efforts consistently. The 68 peak and 57 recent are competitive at A10. From T4 at tight Monmore, her EP 57 gets her into the first two through the bend. On a tight track where Closers can't pass, a consistent Fader who leads early has a structural advantage. Jones at 20% is moderate but running two dogs (also Winterfield Jack) — the Closer and the Fader hedge. Suit 18 is poor.
DANGER: CS 40 Fader from T1 rail at tight Monmore = the front-running threat who can hold. A10 2nd shows she's competitive. But perf 46 and suit 11 limit confidence.
DANGER: Best speed (57) + best suit (30) + cons 89. The model's pick. But on tight Monmore, CS 60 from T3 may not be enough to pass Winterfield Dot's ultra-reliable front-running. The e/w play.
Reliable 3rd-4th finisher. CS 76/cons 87 guarantee a closing effort but tight Monmore prevents him from passing the leaders. Frame runner.
Best bend speed but a 25 perf in recent form is disqualifying. You can't trust a dog who can produce a 25 at A10 level.
ELIMINATE: Perf 43 (worst) + T6 outside at tight Monmore + includes a 33 perf. She's filling the outside trap.
A10 is the bottom 480m grade at Monmore — models have minimal predictive power here. Consistency (cons) matters more than peak form because no dog in this field has a decisive quality edge. Winterfield Dot's cons 93 is the statistical standout.
T1:22.3%/148r T2:20.83%/216r T3:17.45%/275r T4:18.77%/261r T5:16.42%/268r T6:16.26%/289r
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Still Moment | 55 | 40 | Fader |
2Winterfield Jack | 45 | 76 | Closer |
3Whats Up Mac | 46 | 60 | Closer |
4Winterfield Dot | 57 | 20 | Fader |
5Noduff Charlie | 65 | 12 | Fader |
6Bengarth Blaise | 45 | 62 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.