| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Relentless I Amd 2y 9 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 64 | 47 (4) | 48 (5) | 68 (2) | 67 (2) | 49 (5) | 74 (2) | 57 (5) | 83 (1) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 63 | 54 | - | 57 | 70 | 66 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Goldstar Michaeld 2y 110 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 63 (3) | 70 (2) | 46 (6) | 88 (1) | 84 (1) | 64 (2) | 63 (5) | 49 (5) | - | - | 35 | 28 | - | 18 | 59 | 48 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bandit Paddyd 2y 27 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 36 | 82 (2) | 100 (2) | 86 (3) | 91 (3) | 62 (4) | 84 (3) | 100 (1) | 91 (2) | 95 (3) | 66 (2) | 43 | 50 | 38 | 38 | 64 | 57 | 3 | 13/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Aero Sophieb 2y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 68 (3) | 62 (5) | 79 0 | 63 (3) | 49 (4) | 69 (5) | 49 (4) | 56 (6) | 79 (3) | - | 48 | 49 | 31 | 43 | 66 | 59 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ruinthelonggamed 3y 26 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 38 (3) | 42 (2) | 43 (1) | 57 (2) | 31 (6) | 53 (4) | 38 (3) | 60 (2) | 37 (6) | 67 (2) | 35 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 68 | 57 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ivy Hill Viperd 2y 28 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 64 | 66 (4) | 41 (2) | 80 (4) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 34 (4) | 65 (3) | 84 (2) | 34 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 | 31 | 21 | 37 | 58 | 50 | 5 | 7/1 | |
Three consecutive wins climbing from A5 to A3 — a dog in the form of his life. Perf 70 is the best in the field by 2 points. His form trajectory: 55→64→66→74→74→76 is the perfect upward curve — improving at every start. The last three wins at A5 (76), A4 (74), and A3 (74) show he's been beating progressively better fields with consistent 74-76 perfs. Now at A2 for the first time, which is the question — can the improvement continue? His All-Rounder profile (EP 54, CS 42, cons 86) is ideal for Monmore's tight track where you need to be handy early and hold position through the bends. Bend rating 64 is joint-best, meaning he'll negotiate the tight turns effectively. From T1 on the rail, he gets the shortest run to the first bend. Suit mean 44 is the second-best with trap suit 63 and distance suit 57 showing proven CD form. Trainer Jenkins at 20% is moderate but the dog's form speaks for itself.
DANGER: A1 2nd (75 perf) dropping to A2 with best closing speed (CS 100). On his day he wins this easily. But Monmore's tight track penalises Closers and his consistency (55, 58, 62 in three of six) is poor.
DANGER: Cons 93 + A2 2nd + best trap (T4 18.07%) + moderate CS 78 suited to tight Monmore. The e/w banker — she'll be in the frame. Could win if the pick has an off day at the new grade.
Struggling at higher grades, unlikely to suddenly find form at A2. Mid-pack at best.
Sprint form is irrelevant at 480m. The 43 perf at this distance tells the real story. He'll find 480m too far and fade from mid-race.
ELIMINATE: Sprint dog out of depth at 480m A2. Perf 58 (worst), T6 (worst trap), five sub-50 runs at this distance. Dead last.
T1 and T3 joint-best at 17.42%. T4 slightly ahead at 18.07%. R1 composite wins 20.93% — models have reasonable predictive power at A2. T1 rail advantage matters more at Monmore than bigger tracks.
T1:17.42%/132r T2:14.86%/74r T3:17.42%/132r T4:18.07%/83r T5:16.25%/80r T6:14.58%/48r
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Relentless I Am | 54 | 42 | All-Rounder |
2Goldstar Michael | 47 | 58 | Closer |
3Bandit Paddy | 35 | 100 | Closer |
4Aero Sophie | 47 | 78 | Closer |
5Ruinthelonggame | 53 | 41 | All-Rounder |
6Ivy Hill Viper | 57 | 26 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.