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Thursday
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kazronsteved 3y 15 | S Caile — 13% R186 W25 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 48 | 66 (6) | 49 (2) | 73 (5) | 83 (2) | 64 (1) | 65 (3) | 57 (3) | 75 (6) | 53 (3) | - | 40 | 38 | 17 | 36 | 60 | 52 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Simpson Sniperd 2y 24 | R Hale — 19% R59 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | 76 | 51 | 47 | 70 (2) | 67 (3) | 77 (6) | 96 (2) | 58 (1) | 61 (4) | 71 (5) | 82 (3) | 52 (1) | - | 52 | 50 | 23 | 42 | 66 | 60 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Kindb 2y 36 | M Gray — 16% R56 W9 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 66 | 74 (1) | 57 (6) | 72 (2) | 74 (2) | 86 (1) | 68 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (6) | 64 (3) | 73 (2) | 56 | 50 | 37 | 50 | 63 | 59 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Slingshot Leeonab 2y 25 | B Fairbairn — 31% R64 W20 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 83 | 46 | 42 | 50 (5) | 92 (1) | 50 (3) | 50 (5) | 69 (2) | 68 (2) | 64 (1) | 67 (3) | 85 (1) | 87 (1) | 31 | 34 | 9 | 32 | 56 | 48 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Blackhouse Flockd 3y 5 | S Ray — 14% R408 W59 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 51 | 50 | 43 (5) | 50 (5) | 63 (4) | 46 (5) | 77 (1) | 12 (5) | 22 (5) | 57 (1) | 56 (2) | - | 35 | 29 | 27 | 35 | 69 | 56 | 3 | 16/1 | |
The strongest A2 form in the field — won A2 from T2 AND placed 2nd at A2 from T3. The 1st-2nd trajectory at A2 across two different traps proves the ability is genuine and not draw-dependent. Best EP (68) and bend (66) in the field — she leads through the first bend from T3 every time. Fader CS 11 is the obvious concern — at Newcastle's fair 480m with a lengthy home straight, closers have room to catch faders. BUT: she WON despite the Fader profile, which means the EP 68 builds enough of a lead that even fading, nobody catches her. SuitTrap 56 is field-best. SuitDist 50 is best. SuitTrack 50 is tied-best. PC 88 shows the front-running Fader pattern is consistent and reliable — she leads and fades consistently, but fades from 1st to 1st-2nd rather than from 1st to last.
DANGER: The most talented runner when the CS 100 fires — A2 P3 + A3 winner + 35% trainer. But PC 8 makes her a complete lottery. If the closing works, she wins. If it doesn't (which is equally likely), she finishes last. High ceiling, low floor.
Strong trainer but A2 P5 + worst speed says the grade is too hard. The A3 win doesn't translate to A2 competitiveness. Likely 4th-5th.
Strongest trainer signal in the race but A2 form and speed don't support it. The trainer may see potential but the data says A2 is too hard. Likely 4th-5th.
Double A3 winner stepping up but untested at A2. Speed is competitive. The A3-to-A2 step is the unknown. Likely 2nd-4th depending on how the grade increase plays.
T3 won A2 + P2 at A2 — the strongest A2 form. Fader CS 11 but proven to work at this venue. T2 has CS 100 but PC 8 = lottery. Three 35%+ trainers. T5 won A3 twice stepping up.
Newcastle 480m fair. Performance > trap. Lengthy home straight helps closers.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Kazronsteve | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Simpson Sniper | 21 | 100 | Closer |
3Swift Kind | 68 | 11 | Fader |
4Slingshot Leeona | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Blackhouse Flock | 55 | 40 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.