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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nolas Bigfootd 4y 23 | D R Jinks — 16% R572 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 51 | 23 (4) | 16 (3) | 27 (2) | 36 (4) | 30 (1) | 13 (6) | 25 (2) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 30 (1) | 28 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 48 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Howsyerday Dollyb 2y 14 | D R Jinks — 16% R572 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 36 | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 18 (4) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 28 (1) | 10 (5) | 8 (6) | 16 (3) | 23 (3) | 20 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 34 | 6 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Slipalong Dond 3y 12 | P S Rea — 15% R523 W78 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 42 (2) | 44 (4) | 35 (5) | 37 (4) | 38 (5) | 9 (6) | 12 (6) | 46 (4) | 36 (3) | - | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 36 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollyhill Jimmyd 3y 12 | P S Rea — 15% R523 W78 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 12 (4) | 14 (3) | 14 (4) | 41 (4) | 39 (4) | 49 (2) | 49 (2) | 42 (4) | 49 (2) | 55 (2) | 27 | - | 18 | - | 30 | 44 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Shadyd 3y 15 | T J Nevin — 18% R463 W83 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 46 | 34 (4) | 28 (1) | 11 (6) | 11 (6) | 33 (4) | 54 (5) | 32 (4) | 22 (6) | 52 (1) | 40 (4) | 24 | 18 | 16 | - | 29 | 38 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Savana Boycied 3y 19 | T J Nevin — 18% R463 W83 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 72 | 28 (5) | 59 (1) | 32 (5) | 35 (6) | 23 (2) | 24 (1) | 17 (4) | 15 (4) | 7 (6) | 40 (6) | 33 | 25 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 37 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
The model's primary arguments are compelling on pace and draw: speed rating of 61 — the highest in this A7 field by a clear margin — and the best structural draw at A7 415m at 23.2% from trap 1. Composite of 48 is also the highest in the race. The significant caveat is distance suitability of 6, which indicates extremely limited form at 415 metres — this appears to be a first or near-first attempt at the standard distance, stepping up from 238m sprint racing where he last ran (D5, fourth in 16.06 eight days ago). At 415m, sustained pace and bend management matter beyond raw early speed. If his sprint-track qualities translate to the longer trip, the draw and pace combination could be decisive. But the distance question is real and must be flagged clearly. The model backs him on available data — distance novelty is the key risk.
Best bend rating from good structural draw — the primary danger if the pick's distance inexperience is exposed.
Irish form with no established Harlow track record — too many unknowns to recommend with confidence.
Recent placed A7 form but worst structural draw and very low suitability metrics — difficult to back.
Recent A7 form but very low early pace and below-average draw make this a difficult selection.
Modest recent A7 form with below-average draw and low early pace — limited case to make here.
Trap 1 wins 23.2% at A7 415m. Nolas Bigfoot holds speed R1 (61) and composite R1 (48) but distance suitability of 6 flags a near-debut at 415m.
T1:23.2% T2:16.8% T3:16.0% T4:17.6% T5:16.6% T6:20.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Nolas Bigfoot | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Howsyerday Dolly | 29 | 53 | All-Rounder |
3Slipalong Don | 48 | 62 | Closer |
4Hollyhill Jimmy | 86 | 88 | All-Rounder |
5Savana Shady | 0 | 0 | Fader |
6Savana Boycie | 68 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 388m | 415m | 450m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nolas Bigfoot | 0.676 | — | 0.672 | — | — |
| 2 | Howsyerday Dolly | 0.680 | — | 0.684 | — | — |
| 3 | Slipalong Don | — | 0.652 | 0.680 | — | — |
| 4 | Hollyhill Jimmy | — | 0.642 | 0.677 | — | — |
| 5 | Savana Shady | 0.693 | — | 0.679 | 0.629 | 0.641 |
| 6 | Savana Boycie | 0.674 | — | 0.682 | 0.632 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.