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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Callieb 3y 14 | D R Jinks — 16% R572 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 25 (3) | 19 (6) | 21 (6) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 27 (5) | 31 (3) | 20 (3) | 28 (4) | 28 (3) | 33 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Yo Cashoutb 2y 28 | T J Nevin — 18% R463 W83 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 34 (5) | 34 (1) | 15 (5) | 25 (4) | 18 (3) | 14 (6) | 16 (4) | 44 (6) | 23 (6) | 29 (4) | 29 | 12 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Early Paceb 2y 6 | D R E Ellerker — 21% R722 W150 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 24 (4) | 27 (4) | 24 (6) | 19 (4) | 33 (2) | 22 (5) | 33 (2) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 34 (3) | 47 | 43 | 51 | 23 | 26 | 31 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Spade Workb 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 21% R722 W150 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 29 (2) | 24 (4) | 22 (2) | 33 (2) | 34 (1) | 23 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (4) | 24 (1) | 34 (1) | 34 | 33 | 53 | 50 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Miss Zoeyb 5y 15 | C Wilson — 17% R29 W5 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 34 (1) | 21 (5) | 15 (6) | 24 (4) | 34 (1) | 19 (5) | 17 (4) | 33 (1) | 21 (5) | 34 (1) | 20 | 32 | 57 | 41 | 25 | 27 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Savana Sakarid 3y 3 | T J Nevin — 18% R463 W83 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 30 (2) | 29 (2) | 30 (3) | 38 (1) | 25 (1) | 23 (2) | 10 (6) | 21 (2) | 19 (4) | 40 (1) | 38 | 42 | 32 | 44 | 28 | 32 | 3 | 11/10F | - | |
Second at D4 five days ago in 15.62 — active placed form at this grade and distance. Speed of 53 is the highest in this D4 field and distance suitability of 50 is the best in the race, reflecting an established track record at 238 metres. The xgb model rates Spade Work at 26%, the highest in the race. Trap 4 produces 17.5% of D4 238m winners — an average draw that doesn't provide structural help but doesn't penalise excessively. Average performance of 27 is solid D4 standard. The combination of pace leadership, distance affinity, and recent placed form at this exact level is the model's case.
Highest composite and best structural draw from strong recent form — the clearest conventional danger to the model pick.
Winning form from two weeks ago — capable at D4 level but worst structural draw is a clear negative.
Regular D4 Harlow runner with modest speed — competitive but without a winning edge against this field.
Active recent form with a decent draw — each-way player but not the selection.
Class drop is helpful but poor recent A6 form and low early pace make this a difficult selection at 238m.
Trap 6 dominant at 22.9% at D4 238m. Speed R1 wins 20.5%. Spade Work holds speed R1 (53) with distance suitability 50 — highest in field.
T1:18.4% T2:17.0% T3:17.8% T4:17.5% T5:16.2% T6:22.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 253m | 277m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Callie | 0.665 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Yo Cashout | 0.672 | 0.625 | 0.625 | 0.673 |
| 3 | Early Pace | 0.668 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Spade Work | 0.658 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Miss Zoey | 0.668 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Savana Sakari | 0.661 | 0.609 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.