Won eight days ago at D5 in 15.87 — active winning form at this exact grade, track, and distance. Speed rating of 57 is the joint-highest in the field and the best bend rating at 55 — in a race where bend rank 1 wins 19.1% from 3,441 D5 runs. A Fader profile with early pace of 67 means she is aggressive off the boxes and reaches the first bend with momentum. The trap 5 draw at 14.6% is the obvious structural concern, but at 238 metres her pace advantage should mean the difference in draw position is minimised once she is running freely. Composite 24 and xgb probability reflecting the model's confidence at this grade and distance make this a well-supported selection despite the draw.