Speed rating of 56 — the joint-highest in this A7 field alongside Badminton Beach — and composite rank 1 at 42. Third at A7 five days ago in 28.02 — active recent form at the right grade and distance. A Closer profile with early pace of 32 and bend of 41 means he relies on race positioning through the middle and later stages rather than pace dominance from the front. Trap 2 is the single worst structural draw at A7 415m at 16.8% — a significant positional penalty for a Closer who needs clear racing room. The model picks him on the combination of pace and composite leadership, but the structural draw is the hardest factor to overlook. Distance suitability of 9 is also low, suggesting limited established A7 415m form.