| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dunnanelly Exitd 3y 4 | P S Rea — 15% R523 W78 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 25 (3) | 30 (1) | 20 (6) | 21 (4) | 22 (2) | 20 (5) | 19 (3) | 21 (2) | 10 (6) | 18 (3) | 15 | 22 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Keefill Cocob 3y 14 | P S Rea — 15% R523 W78 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 23 (1) | 14 (6) | 16 (4) | 20 (3) | 15 (5) | 12 (5) | 16 (5) | 22 (5) | 33 (5) | 30 (3) | 27 | - | 6 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tagalong Gerd 2y 16 | D R Jinks — 16% R572 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 28 (2) | 37 (5) | 42 (4) | 49 (3) | 52 (2) | 46 (4) | 19 (6) | 30 (2) | 29 (1) | - | 11 | 34 | 45 | 51 | 38 | 27 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Wilbys Flyerd 2y 5 | D R E Ellerker — 21% R722 W150 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (3) | 20 (5) | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | 23 (4) | 29 (1) | 19 (3) | 23 (3) | 18 (5) | 14 (5) | 16 | 14 | 31 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tomahurra Scobbyd 3y 15 | D R Jinks — 16% R572 W93 P313 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 18 (6) | 27 (2) | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 23 (3) | 21 (2) | 9 (5) | 16 (5) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 25 | 27 | 31 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yo Paddyd 1y 1 | T J Nevin — 18% R463 W83 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 22 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 | - | - | - | 22 | 20 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
The model selects Yo Paddy from trap 6 — the best structural position at D5 238m at 21.9% — but the form underpinnings here are thin. Track suitability and distance suitability are both at zero, indicating an early or debut campaign at Harlow D5. Fourth at D5 eight days ago in 15.88 — an active run producing a modest result. Average performance of 22 and speed of 50 are modest D5 markers. The primary selection argument is purely structural — trap 6 at 21.9% is the most powerful single draw signal at D5 238m. In a race where form is limited across the field and the structural draw is the clearest differentiator, the model defaults to the positional advantage. Confidence is deliberately low given the limited form basis.
Strongest form metrics in the race — the form pick with good structural draw. The most compelling alternative to the structural selection.
Consistent D5 form from an average draw — place candidate but unlikely to win outright.
Active D5 form and decent draw — could earn a place but limited winning case.
Irish form with no comparable Harlow experience — too uncertain to recommend at D5.
Worst draw and lowest speed in the field — very hard to recommend.
Trap 6 wins 21.9% at D5 238m — best structural draw. Tagalong Ger has strongest form (avgP 38, bend 54, speed 55) — the form/draw conflict is the central race question.
T1:17.2% T2:16.5% T3:19.8% T4:18.2% T5:14.6% T6:21.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 238m | 388m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunnanelly Exit | — | 0.677 | — | — |
| 2 | Keefill Coco | 0.659 | 0.681 | 0.653 | — |
| 3 | Tagalong Ger | — | 0.671 | — | 0.670 |
| 4 | Wilbys Flyer | — | 0.676 | — | — |
| 5 | Tomahurra Scobby | — | 0.681 | — | — |
| 6 | Yo Paddy | — | 0.674 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.