DYLAN LAW BIRTHDAY TROPHY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jess Againb 2yREP 16 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 76 (2) | 80 (1) | 43 (6) | 71 (2) | 64 (3) | 80 (1) | 54 (5) | 43 (5) | 39 (5) | 55 (5) | 48 | 53 | 48 | 45 | 64 | 54 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Crossfield Craigd 2y 37 | J T Kingsley — 14% R160 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 46 (4) | 47 (5) | 62 (3) | 56 (4) | 65 (4) | 63 (3) | 62 (3) | 50 (5) | 50 (6) | 61 (2) | 7 | 42 | 31 | 38 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Deadly Rubend 3y 7 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 43 | 69 (3) | 63 (3) | 71 (3) | 67 (2) | 81 (1) | 58 (3) | 46 (5) | 56 (5) | 64 (4) | 56 (4) | 47 | 32 | - | 18 | 58 | 49 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Pips Gambleb 2y 5 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 63 (2) | 55 (3) | 60 (3) | 36 (5) | 52 (4) | 60 (4) | 54 (5) | 64 (4) | 65 (2) | 77 (1) | 41 | 53 | - | 43 | 63 | 57 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Mertonaby Ladd 2y 27 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 50 (4) | 66 (3) | 57 (4) | 41 (5) | 77 (1) | 55 (4) | 71 (1) | 36 (5) | 58 (4) | 71 (1) | 35 | 35 | - | 34 | 57 | 49 | 3 | 5/1 | |
Signora Veloce takes the pick on composite (62) — a 5-point margin over the danger (Pips Gamble at 57) driven by the field's best average performance (68) and the best suitability mean (47, with track 58, distance 45, trap 46, class 40 all above average). Her form of 74→60→65→71→62 is the most consistent in the field — never dropping below 60 in her last five runs, with a ceiling of 74 that outstrips everyone here. As a Fader (CS 10, EP 59), she'll lead through the first bend from the rail and the question is whether she holds on. The concern is structural: T1 at Hove A3 500m wins just 17.8% from 236 runs — the weakest non-dead trap in the race. This means despite her individual class edge, the trap position works against her historically. CD form of 3,3,3 — three consecutive 3rd places — is telling: she's competitive but hasn't been winning at course and distance. The Fader profile at 500m on Hove's galloping surface means she'll likely lead into the straight but face closing challengers. Harvey's 24% WR is moderate. The pick rests on clear class superiority and consistent form overcoming structural headwinds.
Outstanding CD form (2,1,1), dominant trap, Closer on a galloping track — the structural case is compelling. But EP 17 and wildly erratic form (13 to 77) make her unpredictable. Principal threat to the pick.
Consistent mid-table performer (form always 56-65) in a dominant trap, but trap suit of 7 says he personally hasn't capitalised. Mid-pack finisher at best tonight.
Five consecutive unplaced finishes and poor suitability despite a dominant trap. The structure helps but can't overcome consistently poor individual performance at CD. Oppose.
Dominant trap and high pace consistency but mid-level ability (avgPerf 57) and poor suitability. Needs a personal best to feature. Place contender at best.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 22.3% vs R3 17.9% — 4.3pp gap, model has marginal edge. T1 is actually the WEAKEST non-dead trap at 17.8% from 236 runs. T4 is the strongest at 24.3% from 177 runs. The pick is drawn in the weakest structural position — the pick is based on class edge (composite 62 vs next 57) rather than structure. Watch for T4 Pips Gamble in the dominant trap with proven CD form.
T1:17.8% T2:22.4% T3:23.0% T4:24.3% T5:13.1% T6:20.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jess Again | 41 | 88 | Closer |
2Crossfield Craig | 52 | 37 | All-Rounder |
3Deadly Ruben | 48 | 69 | Closer |
4Pips Gamble | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Mertonaby Lad | 54 | 25 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.