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Saturday 28th March
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Thats Mikeysd 2y 14 | P Webster — 16% R96 W15 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 40 | 63 (2) | 45 (5) | 54 (3) | 54 (4) | 55 (4) | 67 (1) | 23 (6) | 55 (3) | 37 (6) | 60 (1) | 9 | 18 | - | 18 | 49 | 37 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Lowgate Blue Boyd 2y 25 | J E Hayton — 12% R25 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 64 | 21 (6) | 19 (6) | 22 (4) | 23 (5) | 42 (5) | 50 (4) | 53 (5) | 47 (4) | 37 (5) | 53 (3) | 48 | 45 | 11 | 26 | 50 | 46 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Crystal Busterd 3y 16 | T D Coote — 19% R577 W111 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 59 | 80 (1) | 36 (6) | 47 (5) | 60 (4) | 77 (1) | 76 (1) | 75 (1) | 73 (1) | 74 (1) | 58 (3) | 43 | 41 | 43 | 34 | 41 | 40 | 2 | 5/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Darver Pigeonb 3y 14 | C W Brown — 26% R35 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 41 (6) | 60 (3) | 54 (3) | 56 (5) | 47 (3) | 52 (4) | 42 (4) | 55 (5) | 55 (4) | - | 1 | 34 | 14 | 34 | 54 | 43 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Catunda Coloneld 3y 6 | D T Gomersall — 15% R137 W20 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 28 | 52 (3) | 65 (1) | 49 (4) | 59 (4) | 54 (2) | 45 (6) | 44 (4) | 49 (4) | 45 (4) | - | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 54 | 44 | 3 | 5/1 | |
The predicted winner on composite score of 46, Lowgate Blue Boy has the best combination of performance (P50 avg) and suitability in this field, with track suit 45, trap suit 48, and distance suit 26 giving him the highest overall profile. He is a confirmed Fader (EP 71, CSR 0) with excellent pace consistency (87), meaning he reliably gets to the front early through that 64 first bend rating. His form reads P53→P53→P42→P53 in graded A6 company with both P53 performances coming from 3rd place finishes, showing he is competitive but not dominant. Trainer J E Hayton posts a strong 33% win rate which is a genuine positive signal. The concern is that Fader profile at Sheffield 500m — this is a fair track where closers like Catunda Colonel genuinely get into the race in the final stretch. Lowgate Blue Boy led from 1 to the run-in on his last A6 start (14 Mar) before being caught, and the same scenario could repeat. Drawn T3 which is neutral at 20% from 275 runs, so no structural boost or penalty.
Joint-highest raw ability and field-best speed from dead T6. The Sheffield 500m fairness gives him a genuine closing lane but 14.64% trap win rate is a major structural headwind. Clear danger but hard to pick from that draw.
Dominant trap with field-best speed and solid recent A6 form from this exact position. The structural advantage is real — T4 at 25.1% is 5pp above expected. Fader fade at 500m is the risk, but this is a genuine danger and structurally the best-drawn dog in the race.
Joint-best avgPerf but trapped in the worst structural position with a trap suit of 1. Three-week layoff adds uncertainty. Place chance at best if the pace collapses ahead.
All-Rounder profile is fine for Sheffield 500m but the ratings are bottom-of-field and suitability scores offer no support. Likely to finish mid-pack.
T4 is the structurally dominant position winning 25.1% from 251 runs. T5 and T6 are both dead traps below 15%. Crystal Buster sits in the dominant T4 but ranks 4th on composite — structural advantage vs rating gap is the key tension. Composite rank 1 wins 22.41% and rank 3 drops to 16.37%, giving 6pp separation which is meaningful.
T1:22.26% T2:22.94% T3:20.00% T4:25.10% T5:13.52% T6:14.64%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Thats Mikeys | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Lowgate Blue Boy | 71 | 0 | Fader |
4Crystal Buster | 70 | 17 | Fader |
5Darver Pigeon | 17 | 100 | Closer |
6Catunda Colonel | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.