Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
Rudi-Mentals 40th Race
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glynnscross Razzb 3y 8 | T D Coote — 19% R564 W105 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 28 (3) | 35 (1) | 28 (4) | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 18 (6) | 39 (4) | 32 (6) | 58 (4) | 45 (6) | 50 | 31 | - | 61 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Southside Magicd 3y 4 | C W Brown — 26% R35 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 43 | - | 30 (3) | 22 (6) | 33 (2) | 31 (3) | 36 (1) | 32 (2) | 31 (2) | 21 (6) | - | - | 18 | 37 | - | 37 | 21 | 24 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bling Bling Macyb 3y 37 | C W Brown — 26% R35 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | 86 | 44 | - | 64 (3) | 54 (3) | 56 (2) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 46 (5) | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | 26 (3) | 29 (1) | 72 | 50 | - | 54 | 26 | 37 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lowgate Jackd 2y 28 | J E Hayton — 12% R25 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | 90 | 51 | - | 75 (1) | 69 (2) | 37 (5) | 59 (2) | 33 (2) | 27 (5) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 28 (2) | 78 | 52 | 41 | 51 | 30 | 41 | 2 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Slippy Falcond 3yN/R 15 | S C Oxley — 17% R150 W26 P92 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 80 (1) | 63 (3) | 59 (3) | 62 (4) | 56 (4) | 76 (1) | 58 (3) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 67 (2) | 37 | 60 | - | 53 | 63 | 58 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Zari Taylord 2y 25 | P Webster — 15% R93 W14 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 55 (6) | 23 (6) | 24 (2) | 28 (5) | 47 (5) | 64 (6) | 38 (5) | 32 (2) | - | - | 40 | 50 | - | 53 | 40 | 43 | 3 | 7/4 | |
The standout pick on tonight's Sheffield card. Slippy Falcon drops from A3 to a D3 sprint — a massive class advantage that the composite score of 58 reflects but possibly understates. His avgPerf 63 is built entirely from A3 500m form: P66 (2nd)→P49 (5th, checked)→P79 (win, led run-in)→P53 — form that is light years ahead of anything else in this D3 sprint field. He has no 280m form and no sprint speed data, which is the key unknown. However, at Sheffield 280m, pace profile is less extreme than at Valley 260m — this is a slightly longer sprint where class can assert itself. His suitability profile is strong: trap suit 37, track suit 60, distance suit 53, class suit 0 (first time at this sprint grade). Trainer S C Oxley at 22% is moderate. T5 is a reasonable structural position at 20.93% from 129 runs. The class gap here is extreme — his avgPerf 63 vs the next best at 49 (Glynnscross Razz) is a 14-point gulf. Even without sprint experience, this level of superiority usually translates. The only scenario where he loses is if the 280m trip physically does not suit and he cannot adapt, which is possible but unlikely given his natural speed from 500m racing.
Best sprint speed data and trial form at this distance makes him the logical danger. But 14 points behind the pick on raw ability is a huge gulf. Runner-up prospect.
Dead T6 at 10.99% with mid-pack ability. The structural disadvantage eliminates him from contention. Would need the rest to fall to feature.
Most experienced and proven sprinter with an excellent trap record and strong trainer. But the class ceiling at P28-P33 means he cannot reach the pick. Solid place prospect.
Best structural trap in the race but slowest speed and lowest form. The dominant T3 gives her a place chance but the class gap to the pick is insurmountable.
Minimal experience with a last-place open debut. No form evidence to support any chance in this D3 company.
T3 is massively dominant at 28.83% from 163 runs — 12pp above expected. T6 is dead at just 10.99% from 191 runs. The pick (Slippy Falcon) is in T5 which is reasonable at 20.93%. Normal composite separation (9.5pp gap R1-R3). Class gap between the pick and the rest is the defining feature.
T1:19.14% T2:16.78% T3:28.83% T4:21.38% T5:20.93% T6:10.99%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.