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KIYAN KING KOALA
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aston Martinid 2y 5 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 47 | 37 (5) | 49 (5) | 59 (4) | 50 (4) | 70 (1) | 40 (5) | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 50 (3) | 41 (5) | 33 | 37 | 20 | 21 | 51 | 44 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Spotliteb 4y 26 | C Gardiner — 22% R367 W79 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 39 | 38 (5) | 67 (1) | 67 (1) | 51 (4) | 36 (6) | 53 (2) | 64 (2) | 42 (4) | 45 (5) | 43 (5) | 33 | 39 | 45 | 35 | 53 | 47 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Sly Wolfd 3y 16 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 60 | 33 (5) | 69 (1) | 50 (3) | 56 (3) | 52 (4) | 42 (5) | 51 (4) | 44 (5) | 57 (4) | 41 (5) | 49 | 46 | 40 | 39 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Caramels Creamb 4y 25 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 63 | 55 (2) | 39 (5) | 59 (1) | 42 (5) | 31 (5) | 58 (4) | 51 (2) | 61 (3) | 51 (2) | - | 84 | 35 | 25 | 31 | 55 | 53 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Annadown Belleb 3y 16 | A Herbert — 15% R67 W10 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 44 (4) | 54 (4) | 61 (1) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 50 (2) | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 46 (5) | 33 | 36 | 28 | 37 | 53 | 47 | 3 | 15/8F | |
Caramels Cream takes the pick on composite (53) driven by the highest average performance in the field (55) and an exceptional trap suitability of 84 — the standout individual metric in this race. She's a Fader (CS 2) with elite pace credentials: EP 63 and bend 63 are the best in the field, meaning she'll reliably lead through the first bend from T4. Form of 61→51→40→63→50 shows inconsistency but the 61 and 63 demonstrate a ceiling that few in this field can match. The concern is T4's structural position at just 16.8% from 197 runs — below the expected 16.7% average and well behind the dominant inside traps (T1-T3 all above 20%). This is an unusual pick: the best individual dog in a structurally disadvantaged trap. But the trap suitability of 84 says she's personally overcome this position frequently enough to build an elite individual record there. Taylor's 16% WR is low. CD form of 2,5,5 is poor, but Hove's bumpy track at 28.2kg (lightweight) may suit her less than ideal. The pick rests on class superiority and elite pace — she needs to lead and not get caught.
Strong Closer (CS 90) in a dominant trap with a CD win last time and the best class suitability. If the Faders weaken, she's perfectly positioned. Principal threat to the pick.
Best structural draw but worst speed and inconsistent declining form. The trap advantage alone isn't enough to overcome the individual deficiencies. Mid-pack finisher.
Best speed, best suitability, dominant trap — on paper, a standout. But last two runs (21, 24) represent a form collapse that can't be ignored. Needs the old form to return.
Extreme Closer (EP 0) with proven CD form (2,2,1). If everything collapses ahead, she's there. But EP 0 means she's playing from too far back to be trusted as more than a place prospect.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 22.1% vs R3 at 17.7% — 4.4pp gap. The composite model offers marginal edge at best. Inside traps (T1-T3) dominate collectively at 21-22% each while T4 (16.8%) and T5 (13.0%) are structurally weak. Speed rank 1 at 24.17% is notably more predictive than composite rank 1 — speed matters more than the overall model at A6 500m Hove.
T1:21.9% T2:20.9% T3:20.7% T4:16.8% T5:13.0% T6:19.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aston Martini | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Droopys Spotlite | 42 | 90 | Closer |
3Sly Wolf | 62 | 11 | Fader |
4Caramels Cream | 63 | 2 | Fader |
6Annadown Belle | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.