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SHIRLEY 80TH BIRTHDAY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Doratarb 1y 14 | S A Cahill — 19% R380 W73 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 38 | 33 (3) | 30 (5) | 37 (2) | 32 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 35 | 30 | 2 | 1/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Triggers Broomd 1y 14 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 59 (1) | 25 (6) | 40 (3) | 33 (5) | 34 (3) | 30 (4) | 16 (5) | 21 (4) | - | - | 40 | 48 | - | 15 | 23 | 27 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Mylordflashheartd 3y 35 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 55 | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 21 (4) | 12 (6) | 16 (6) | 22 (6) | 25 (6) | 44 (4) | 57 (1) | 48 (1) | 34 | 37 | 25 | 32 | 18 | 24 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Susie Gunb 1y 13 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 28 (2) | 29 (2) | 35 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 32 | - | - | 35 | 31 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Yassoo Mellb 3y 9 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 44 | 50 (1) | 47 (1) | 44 (1) | 42 (2) | 35 (3) | 33 (4) | 34 (3) | 35 (2) | 32 (4) | 37 (2) | 37 | 39 | 40 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 1 | 5/2 | |
Yassoo Mell takes the pick on composite (33) in a weak field — leading by just 2 points over the danger, but in A11 the R1-R3 gap at 12.7pp is actually one of the more predictive grade/track combos on tonight's card. The headline figure is speed 63 — field-best by 6 points over the next runner (Doratar at 57), which is an enormous speed advantage that translates to raw race pace. Form of 37→30→17→21→22 is modest on paper, but positions of 2,2,1,1,1 show three consecutive wins followed by two 2nds — she's been consistently finishing in the top two recently, which is exactly what you want to see. As a Closer (CS 95) on Hove's galloping 500m, she needs pace ahead — and Susie Gun's Fader profile from T5 will provide it. Track suit 39 and class suit 40 are the best in the field, confirming she belongs at Hove and at this level. Byford's 12% WR is low, which tempers confidence. CD form of 2,2,1 is strong — two 2nds and a win at course and distance. At 26.3kg she's the lightest, which on Hove's bumpy track is a mild negative but hasn't stopped her winning here before.
Best EP in the field and improving recent positions from a strong trainer (Browne 36%). But Fader profile, zero distance suitability, and poor class suit are significant negatives. Danger on pace and trainer.
Huge structural T1 advantage but clearly declining form in freefall. Speed 57 and CD placed form keep him relevant but needs form reversal to win. Place contender.
Strong trainer (Browne 36%), dominant trap, and heaviest runner for bumpy Hove. But raw performance level is low. The trainer and structure give him a place chance.
Field-worst performance (18) and speed (36) despite dominant trap and strong trainer. The numbers say he's outclassed. Can be opposed with confidence.
R2 massively outperforms R1 (29.0% vs 20.5%) — the second-rated dog is the better bet historically at A11 500m Hove. T1 dominates at 36.8% but from only 57 runs. T4 is DEAD at 14.4% from 104 runs. No T4 runner tonight. Speed rank 1 wins 19.77% — below composite R1 — suggesting speed alone isn't the answer here.
T1:36.8% T2:20.7% T3:24.6% T4:14.4% T5:18.4% T6:15.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Doratar | 36 | 100 | Closer |
2Triggers Broom | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Mylordflashheart | 53 | 8 | All-Rounder |
5Susie Gun | 57 | 14 | Fader |
6Yassoo Mell | 41 | 95 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.