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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Inzane Sashab 2y 18 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 40 | 67 (1) | 51 (2) | 61 (1) | 50 (2) | 40 (5) | 53 (1) | 32 (3) | 44 (3) | 38 (2) | 49 (1) | 66 | 65 | 20 | 65 | 43 | 51 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Farout Ciand 4y 36 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 65 | 31 (4) | 21 (6) | 52 (1) | 42 (2) | 40 (3) | 29 (4) | 52 (1) | 26 (5) | 43 (3) | - | 40 | 40 | 26 | 33 | 50 | 46 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Punk Rock Picardd 3y 16 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 68 | 49 (3) | 52 (3) | 46 (5) | 37 (6) | 53 (4) | 68 (1) | 43 (5) | 61 (1) | 39 (5) | 49 (2) | 36 | 37 | 21 | 28 | 46 | 42 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Sly Ashd 3y 6 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 47 (1) | 29 (5) | 31 (5) | 43 (2) | 39 (4) | 27 (5) | 39 (3) | 37 (5) | 51 (1) | 40 (3) | 30 | 34 | 15 | 32 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Airlie Coogeeb 2y 4 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 40 (4) | 54 (1) | 40 (4) | 62 (6) | 71 (4) | 36 (5) | 46 (3) | 56 (1) | 39 (4) | 52 (1) | 41 | 46 | - | 39 | 42 | 42 | 4 | 5/1 | |
Inzane Sasha takes the pick on composite (51) — a 5-point margin over the danger (Farout Cian at 46). The headline stat is CD form of 1,1,1 — three consecutive wins at Hove 500m, the best CD record in any race on tonight's card. This is a dog who simply delivers at these specific conditions. Suitability confirms it emphatically: track 65, distance 65, trap 66 — all above 60, all field-best, representing an elite level of individual condition alignment. She's a Closer (CS 100) with low early pace (EP 27) — she'll be behind through the first bend but on Hove's galloping 500m with two fast Faders setting strong pace ahead, there should be ground to make up through the home straight. Average perf 43 is the lowest of any pick on tonight's card, which means she wins through venue knowledge and suitability rather than raw class. Speed 43 is also below average. Taylor's 16% WR is low. At 29.2kg she's mid-range. The pick is built entirely on condition fit — three CD wins plus suitability scores above 60 in every dimension is an overwhelming individual signal. In a LOW SEPARATION race where the model can't separate dogs, individual venue form is the decisive factor.
Best avgPerf (50) and two CD wins in a dominant trap. But Fader profile (CS 0) at 500m Hove means he leads then fades — the question is whether the fade comes before or after the line. Principal threat.
Best EP and bend in the field but confirmed Fader (CS 0) with badly declining form. Will lead then fade — classic pace-maker. Structural trap advantage wasted on a dog who can't sustain.
Best speed, most consistent placed form, and dominant trap. But mid-level perf (45) and poor suitability mean he lacks the venue-specific edge of the pick. Reliable place contender.
Best structural trap (T6 23.9%) but form in sustained freefall. A few weeks ago she'd have been the pick — today, the decline is too severe. Needs dramatic reversal.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 22.2% vs R3 19.2% — just 3pp gap, model offers minimal edge. Every trap from T2-T6 wins above expected rate — the most evenly distributed trap bias on tonight's card. Speed rank 1 at 25.89% is the most predictive metric (better than composite). In this race, individual suitability and condition fit matter more than the model.
T1:19.8% T2:20.5% T3:20.8% T4:23.4% T5:21.5% T6:23.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Inzane Sasha | 27 | 100 | Closer |
3Farout Cian | 61 | 0 | Fader |
4Punk Rock Picard | 69 | 0 | Fader |
5Sly Ash | 47 | 70 | Closer |
6Airlie Coogee | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.