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DANIELLE & DENNIS LAW TROPHY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Links Fantasyd 3y 35 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 33 (4) | 42 (3) | 57 (1) | 44 (3) | 59 (1) | 33 (6) | 53 (4) | 39 (4) | 58 (3) | 52 (3) | 45 | 69 | 35 | 30 | 48 | 48 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ We Are Leedsd 3y 19 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 50 (3) | 42 (5) | 36 (4) | 47 (2) | 39 (4) | 56 (1) | 35 (6) | 49 (2) | 47 (3) | 49 (4) | 41 | 35 | 27 | 28 | 45 | 41 | 2 | 9/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Irreleventb 1y 18 | S A Cahill — 19% R380 W73 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 52 (1) | 42 (3) | 45 (2) | 43 (3) | 45 (3) | 48 (2) | 42 (6) | 38 (6) | 52 (1) | 47 (1) | 30 | 23 | - | 26 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ferryforth Zarab 3y 16 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 38 (5) | 41 (5) | 50 (5) | 31 (3) | 35 (5) | 41 (5) | 61 (6) | 52 (2) | 37 (3) | - | 39 | 42 | 20 | 26 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Adachi Freddied 1y 13 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 35 | 46 (3) | 50 (2) | 48 (2) | 42 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 28 | - | 14 | 42 | 34 | 5 | 1/1F | |
Links Fantasy takes the pick on composite (48) but this is a tentative selection in a low-separation race where the model offers no reliable edge. What supports the pick beyond the bare numbers is the DOMINANT T1 position — 24.0% win rate from 171 runs, the strongest structural signal in the race. Her track suitability of 69 is the best in the field and confirms she performs well at Hove specifically. CD form of 1,1,6 includes two wins at course and distance, though the 6th shows she can also bomb. The form line is peculiar: 59→21→22→22→22 looks dreadful on the surface, but the four consecutive 1st-place finishes (with low performance scores) suggest she's been winning at lower grades without needing to run fast — performance scores reflect the quality of the race, not just the dog. As a Closer (CS 70) on a galloping track, she needs pace ahead of her, and T4's Fader profile should provide that. Taylor's 16% WR is below awareness level, but the structural alignment of T1 + track suit 69 + CD form in a low-separation race makes her the most logical pick.
Best early pace among the contenders and decent structural trap in a low-separation field. Form is trending poorly (29→36→33) but one good run at CD. Danger on pace and position.
Best raw speed (56) but poor suitability across all four dimensions and neutral structural position. Consistent but consistently average — place contender rather than winner.
Reliable pace-setter who'll lead early but Fader profile (CS 12) on a galloping track means she'll weaken through the final bends. Form trending poorly. Pace maker for others.
Strong trainer (Browne 36%) and Closer profile suit Hove 500m, but too inexperienced (4 runs) with poor suitability scores and declining form. Needs more racing before he's a factor.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 19.4% vs R3 at 20.9% — the top-rated dog actually UNDERPERFORMS the third-rated. Composite rankings are noise at A7 500m Hove. T1 is the dominant trap at 24.0% from 171 runs — structural position matters more than ratings here. Speed rank 1 at 23% is the best predictor in this dataset, slightly outperforming both composite and trap. Favourites convert at just 19.4% — backing the pick purely on model ranking is a losing strategy at these conditions.
T1:24.0% T2:20.3% T3:17.5% T4:17.8% T5:19.4% T6:21.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Links Fantasy | 44 | 70 | Closer |
2We Are Leeds | 54 | 17 | All-Rounder |
3Irrelevent | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Ferryforth Zara | 55 | 12 | Fader |
5Adachi Freddie | 42 | 81 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.