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Doncaster 275 Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Daltond 4y 34 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 47 (5) | 67 (3) | 72 (3) | 72 (5) | 53 (4) | 90 (1) | 85 (2) | 47 (1) | 44 (2) | 34 (4) | 57 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 50 | 43 | 4 | 13/8JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Cashout Nowd 2y 26 | P A Harmes — 8% R13 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 99 | - | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 74 (2) | 26 (2) | 39 | 71 (4) | 53 (6) | 32 (1) | - | - | 12 | - | - | - | 43 | 32 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Salacres Reagand 2y 25 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 24 (5) | 30 (5) | 62 (3) | 36 (2) | 31 (2) | 35 (2) | 55 (2) | 32 (2) | 26 (4) | 23 (5) | 52 | 18 | - | 18 | 38 | 35 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Task Sassyb 2y 22 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | - | 32 (4) | 36 (3) | 29 (1) | 29 (4) | 48 (3) | 49 (6) | 68 (4) | 26 (1) | 38 (6) | - | 15 | 25 | - | 25 | 45 | 37 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Cockneyjoelintonb 2y 16 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 43 (1) | 36 (3) | 37 (2) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | - | - | 73 | 58 | - | 68 | 35 | 46 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Long Battled 2y 16 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 81 (3) | 34 (2) | 42 (1) | 34 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 30 (4) | 43 (1) | 47 (3) | 66 | 51 | - | 71 | 46 | 52 | 1 | 13/8JF | |
Leads on composite at 52 with the stand-out suitability package — DS71 is the field's best distance suitability by a wide margin, confirming proven 275m form. Track suit 51 and trap suit 66 further confirm Doncaster T6 aptitude. Performance of 46 is mid-range but form of 3,2,1,2,1 is strong — two wins and two 2nds from five. The perf trend 80→34→42→34→42 is unusual — the 80-rated peak was exceptional but recent runs oscillate between 34 and 42. Speed 54 is the joint-best in the field. Drawn T6 at 27.6% from 29 runs — small OR sample but positive. Trainer J M Windrass at 27% is a moderate-tier positive. The suitability alignment (DS71 + TrpS66) is the strongest individual signal in this race.
DANGER: Three straight wins and outstanding suitability (58/68/73) with T5 the highest-percentage trap. But declining perf (41→28) suggests those wins came against weaker opposition.
Field-best P50 and strong form but very low track (15) and distance (18) suitability. Raw ability vs venue mismatch — a risky proposition. Could win on class alone but the data says this isn't his track.
Elite speed (99) and Fader profile manageable at 275m, but ZERO track and distance suitability. Unproven at Doncaster. High ceiling but enormous risk.
Closer at 275m is fundamentally wrong. Decent form and trap draw but the pace profile means she'll always be starting her run too late at this distance.
Three wins from five shows ability but extreme volatility (24 to 68 to 25) and field-lowest speed (32) at a sprint distance. Unpredictable.
OR 275m has limited condition data. Long Battle's DS71 and TrpS66 are the strongest individual signals. Cashout Now's speed 99 with zero suitability is the wildcard.
T1:22.9%(35) T2:28.6%(21) T3:22.5%(40) T4:18.8%(32) T5:33.3%(33) T6:27.6%(29)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.