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Doncaster 483 Maiden - Division 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ No Coverageb 4y 35 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R321 W58 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 47 | 37 (1) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 27 (4) | 38 (5) | 43 (5) | 52 (5) | 50 (2) | 30 (5) | 48 (6) | 54 | 46 | - | 38 | 49 | 48 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Magical Bossd 2y 16 | S Watson — 30% R421 W127 P298 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 45 | 39 (4) | 59 (1) | 61 (1) | 43 (4) | 44 (2) | 58 (2) | 47 (6) | 62 (3) | 69 (2) | 57 (3) | 56 | 50 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 48 | 3 | 13/8 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Kates Cookieb 2y 24 | P Meek — 14% R85 W12 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | 98 | 100 | 40 (4) | 60 (1) | 55 (1) | 44 (2) | 47 (4) | 24 (5) | 39 (5) | 34 (6) | 49 (2) | - | 51 | - | - | - | 40 | 44 | 1 | 25/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Redbrick Aspd 2y 27 | J W Gaskin — 23% R332 W75 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 59 | 60 (1) | 66 (4) | 51 (2) | 62 (1) | 32 (3) | 77 (4) | 89 (1) | 83 (1) | 80 (1) | 34 (3) | 63 | 50 | - | 50 | 54 | 54 | 2 | 11/10F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Millhouse Lend 3y 14 | R J Overton — 18% R318 W57 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | 36 | 32 | 47 (3) | 62 (3) | 48 (2) | 62 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 77 (3) | 80 (1) | 65 (2) | 32 | 29 | - | 37 | 62 | 52 | 6 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Alexisb 3y 13 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 51 | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 46 (5) | 81 (1) | 60 (2) | 37 (5) | 51 (5) | 43 (5) | 47 (4) | 39 (5) | 36 | 21 | - | 30 | 55 | 46 | 5 | 10/1 | ||
Leads on composite at 54 — a modest edge in a competitive field. A Closer (EP 31, CS 100) on Doncaster's fair 483m trip. Performance of 54 is mid-range but speed 60 and bend 59 are the field's best — genuine closing power. Form of 1,1,3,3,1 includes three wins from five, and perf trend 83→79→33→33→41 shows a dramatic decline from exceptional early form. Those 83 and 79 runs are outstanding but the recent 33→33→41 is poor. Track suit 50, distance suit 50, and trap suit 63 are all decent — a balanced suitability profile. Drawn T4 at 10.9% from 46 runs in OR 483m — structurally one of the weakest positions, which is a concern. Trainer Gaskin at 14% is low. The pick is based on composite but the declining form and weak T4 draw temper confidence significantly.
DANGER: Field-best P62, best form (two wins, two 2nds), consistent trajectory. But low speed (36) and bend (32) raise questions about closing ability.
Fader who'll lead early but CS 0 at 483m means he'll tire. Modest form and ratings place him mid-field. Pace setter only.
Watson at 30% and decent T2 draw are positives but form in continuous decline (69→39) and Fader at 483m. The trainer signal isn't enough to overcome the trajectory.
Elite speed (98) and bend (100) wasted by zero venue form. Wins at 20-24 perf suggest weak-field victories. A Fader at 483m with no Doncaster experience — too many unknowns.
P55 is competitive but four unplaced from five, weak T6 draw (12.1%), and low suitability. Needs a dramatic turnaround to be involved.
Three Closers vs three Faders — pace dynamics favour Closers at 483m. Pick in weak T4 but best speed/bend combination for closing.
T1:19.2%(52) T2:20.8%(48) T3:20.9%(43) T4:10.9%(46) T5:17.8%(45) T6:12.1%(33)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1No Coverage | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Magical Boss | 85 | 0 | Fader |
3Kates Cookie | 69 | 0 | Fader |
4Redbrick Asp | 31 | 100 | Closer |
5Millhouse Len | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Ballymac Alexis | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.