Loading...
Doncaster 450 Standard - Division 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sandwood Gabbyb 2y 16 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 49 | 78 (3) | 69 (4) | 93 (1) | 90 (1) | 88 (1) | 86 (1) | 69 (4) | 93 (1) | 69 (4) | 81 (3) | 78 | 65 | 39 | 63 | 66 | 67 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Blueys Elled 2y 34 | R B Galloway — 4% R24 W1 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 28 | 38 (6) | 90 (5) | 61 (1) | 28 (1) | 61 (6) | 49 (1) | 73 (3) | 47 (4) | 82 (6) | - | 67 | 70 | 33 | 68 | 62 | 64 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Clona Chiefd 2y 27 | D M Verner — 33% R27 W9 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 47 (2) | 89 (1) | 61 (5) | 59 (5) | 71 (2) | 76 (3) | 50 (4) | 61 (4) | 90 (1) | 41 (4) | 51 | 45 | 35 | 46 | 59 | 55 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Sandwood Moverd 2y 35 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 72 (3) | 36 (4) | 71 (2) | 61 (4) | 86 (2) | 54 (5) | 93 (1) | 44 (5) | 65 (2) | 68 (3) | 75 | 46 | 30 | 61 | 68 | 65 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kevd 2yN/R 6 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 38 (5) | 62 (1) | 68 (2) | 66 (3) | 71 (4) | 55 (6) | 82 (2) | 71 (2) | 78 (2) | 86 (1) | 64 | 66 | 37 | 65 | 69 | 68 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Audienced 2y 8 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 76 (2) | 83 (2) | 93 (1) | 91 (1) | 93 (1) | 78 (2) | 53 (2) | 71 (5) | 80 (1) | 36 (5) | 45 | 48 | 18 | 49 | 66 | 59 | 3 | 11/4 | |
Leads on composite at 68 in a high-quality OR field. A Fader (EP 100, CS 0) but at 450m with strong suitability, this profile is manageable. Performance 69 is second-best behind Sandwood Mover (68) but the composite accounts for suitability where Swift Kev excels: TS66, DS65, TrpS64 — all above 60 and remarkably balanced. Form of 2,1,1,4,2 includes two wins from five, with perf trend 78→86→98→59→47. Those 98 and 86 peaks are exceptional but the recent decline to 59→47 is concerning. Speed 49 and bend 55 are mid-pack. Trainer Watson at 30% is strong-tier. Drawn T5 at 21.1% from 52 runs in OR 450m — above expected. Watson's placement with the strong suitability package is the main case.
DANGER: Best T1 draw (29.2%), field-best TrpS (78), Watson at 32%, and best speed (56). But 25-rated last run is a massive concern. Needs a dramatic bounce.
Excellent suitability and strong trainer but extremely volatile form. Three wins from five suggests ability but a 6th two runs back shows she can bomb completely.
Verner at 41% is an elite trainer signal but drawn in the dead T3 (13%) as a Fader at 450m. The structural and pace profile headwinds are too strong despite the trainer.
Closer with strong suit (DS61, TrpS75) and competitive perf (68). But extreme form volatility — could run 22 or 93 on any given day. A contender when right.
T6 structural advantage and Closer profile are positives but 36-rated last run and volatile form (80→36 in two runs) undermine confidence.
Deep competitive field — six runners between comp 55-68. Watson trains two Faders (pick + danger). Declining form across the top three makes this a Tentative pick.
T1:29.2%(48) T2:22.5%(40) T3:13.0%(46) T4:19.6%(46) T5:21.1%(52) T6:27.4%(62)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sandwood Gabby | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Blueys Elle | 1 | 100 | Closer |
3Clona Chief | 99 | 0 | Fader |
4Sandwood Mover | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Swift Kev | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Audience | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.