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Doncaster 450 Standard - Division 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ferndale Powerd 3y 4 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 6 | 0 | 56 (3) | 72 (4) | 42 (5) | 42 (6) | 50 (6) | 37 (5) | 51 (6) | 46 (5) | 85 (1) | 64 (4) | 34 | - | 17 | - | 51 | 45 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Annadown Pantherd 3y 15 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 58 | 40 (4) | 66 (3) | 62 (1) | 88 (1) | 55 (4) | 59 (1) | 43 (4) | 51 (5) | 52 (3) | - | 56 | 47 | 27 | 40 | 60 | 56 | 4 | 11/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fleadh Thiamb 4y 62 | J A Spolander — 15% R41 W6 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 0 | 53 (4) | 54 (4) | 69 (5) | 83 (1) | 35 (4) | 44 (3) | 42 (1) | 40 (1) | 37 (4) | 42 (1) | 44 | - | - | 45 | 52 | 49 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Abbeyside Cryptob 3y 23 | R B Galloway — 4% R24 W1 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 66 (4) | 57 (5) | 95 (1) | 78 (3) | 84 (2) | 81 (2) | 46 (4) | 65 (4) | 68 (4) | 50 (6) | 59 | - | 42 | - | 73 | 68 | 3 | 11/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kevd 2y 9 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 57 | 38 (5) | 62 (1) | 68 (2) | 66 (3) | 71 (4) | 55 (6) | 82 (2) | 71 (2) | 78 (2) | 86 (1) | 64 | 66 | 37 | 65 | 69 | 68 | 1 | 6/4JF | |
| 6 | ▶ Clonoon Ansard 3y 26 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 48 | 64 (2) | 100 (1) | 71 (4) | 75 (2) | 73 (3) | 57 (4) | 100 (1) | 63 (1) | 51 (2) | 61 (1) | 70 | 62 | 54 | 57 | 67 | 66 | 2 | 6/4JF | |
Tied on composite at 68 with Swift Kev but takes the predicted winner slot. A Closer (EP 0, CS 100) with the field's highest performance at 73. Form of 1,4,6,2,2 is mixed — a win but also a 6th and 4th. Perf trend 19→68→50→74→72 shows dramatic improvement recently with consecutive 74 and 72 perfs. Zero track and distance suitability (TS0, DS0) is a major concern — no proven Doncaster or 450m form at all. But trap suit 59 from T4 is decent. Drawn T4 at 19.6% from 46 runs — neutral. Trainer Galloway at 33% is strong-tier. The class (P73) and trainer (Galloway 33%) are the case, but zero venue suitability is a significant structural gap.
DANGER: Best suitability, Watson at 30%, best speed (62). But double-running tonight and declining form trajectory. If fresh this would be a Strong pick — the fatigue question downgrades to Danger.
Five consecutive 5th/6th finishes, speed of 6, zero venue suitability. The highest-percentage T1 draw can't overcome such fundamental weaknesses. One to oppose.
Three wins shows ability but declining form and Fader at 450m. Will push the pace early alongside the other Faders but likely to weaken.
Three wins from five but dead T3 draw, near-zero speed, and zero track suitability. The Closer profile needs closing speed she doesn't possess.
Strong structural case: T6 (27.4%), TrpS 70, 100-rated peak. But Fader (CS 0) at 450m and inconsistent form (100→63) prevent full confidence. A genuine contender.
Three Faders vs three Closers but the Closers (except Crypto) have near-zero speed. Ansar in T6 (27.4%, TrpS 70) has the strongest structural case. Crypto has the best class.
T1:29.2%(48) T2:22.5%(40) T3:13.0%(46) T4:19.6%(46) T5:21.1%(52) T6:27.4%(62)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ferndale Power | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Annadown Panther | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Fleadh Thiam | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Abbeyside Crypto | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Swift Kev | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Clonoon Ansar | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.