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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Maggie Bombasticb 3y 15 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 50 | 64 (3) | 56 (5) | 43 (3) | 59 (1) | 70 (2) | 71 (3) | 85 (3) | 42 (1) | 86 (1) | 81 (1) | 56 | 48 | 56 | 35 | 71 | 61 | 1 | 11/10F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Essex Gunnerd 2y 36 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 100 | 68 (5) | 54 (2) | 68 (1) | 81 (2) | 85 (3) | 42 (1) | 60 (2) | 64 (4) | 58 (4) | 74 (3) | 46 | 55 | 11 | 26 | 69 | 58 | 4 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Azzas Angelb 2y 34 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 22 | 73 (4) | 69 (5) | 65 (5) | 47 (6) | 50 (4) | 49 (4) | 57 (5) | 85 (3) | 86 (4) | 64 (5) | 38 | 20 | 22 | - | 74 | 55 | 5 | 20/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Divine Faithd 3y 14 | P S Rea — 17% R518 W86 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 58 | 25 (3) | 42 (4) | 15 (5) | 19 (2) | 13 (2) | 16 (5) | 82 (2) | 81 (1) | 76 (1) | - | 38 | 38 | 27 | 43 | 64 | 53 | 2 | 11/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Bodell Bucksd 4y 35 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 47 | 52 (5) | 85 (1) | 58 (3) | 52 (4) | 73 (5) | 14 (1) | 68 (6) | 76 (4) | 87 (3) | - | 24 | 51 | 25 | 32 | 75 | 56 | 3 | 11/8 | ||
Maggie Bombastic takes the projection from T1 with an impressive profile: avgPerf 71, speed 56, and crucially trap suit 56 — confirming individual success from the inside rail. T1 at 22.08% from 77 runs is a solid structural position. Her Closer profile (EP 0, CS 77) is normally a red flag at Suffolk Downs, but her recent form at A3/A2 level is genuinely high-class: 72 (3rd at A3), 85 (3rd at A2), 87 (1st win at A3), 82 (1st win at A3). Those performances of 87 and 82 when winning are elite numbers that show she can close successfully at this venue and trip. She also won at 220m (42 perf), demonstrating versatility. Trainer M P Brown at 22% is moderate-tier and has 22.22% at A3 specifically. The class suit of 56 confirms she belongs at this level, and track suit 48 shows proven Suffolk Downs form. The inside rail partially offsets the Closer concerns — she saves ground through every bend, and on four tight bends at Suffolk Downs that's a meaningful advantage even when starting from behind.
DANGER: The most spectacular pace profile on the card (EP 100, bend 100) from DOMINANT T2 (25.42%) with best track suit (55). On Suffolk Downs this combination is lethal. The distance question (recent form from 220m, distance suit 26) is the only reservation. If he handles 388m, he wins.
Exciting form horse with three consecutive wins (83→82→76) and All-Rounder profile from solid T4 (23.38%). But stepping from A4/A5 to A3 — class suit 27 says this grade is unproven. Could easily feature but the class question keeps confidence in check.
Best ability in the field (perf 75, 90 win at A2) but DEAD T5 (12.96%) with trap suit 24. This is the classic 'good dog, bad draw' scenario. Elite class but the structural data from 54 runs says T5 dogs don't win here. If drawn differently, he'd be the pick.
High raw ability (perf 74) but entirely from 548m/660m — distance suit 0 at 388m. Pure Closer profile dropping in distance on tightest UK circuit. This is a stayer trying a sprint-standard trip and the data doesn't support it.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 21.32% vs R3 25% — the model's R3 actually beats R1! Ratings are unreliable at A3. T2 is DOMINANT at 25.42% from 59 runs. T5 is DEAD at 12.96% from 54 runs — significant structural headwind for Bodell Bucks. T1 at 22.08% is a solid inside position.
T1:22.08% T2:25.42% T3:17.35% T4:23.38% T5:12.96% T6:17.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Maggie Bombastic | 0 | 77 | Closer |
2Essex Gunner | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Azzas Angel | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Divine Faith | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Bodell Bucks | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.