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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Go On Kirb 4y 22 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 40 | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 34 (1) | 23 (3) | 21 (5) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 29 (2) | 61 (4) | - | 43 | 46 | 36 | 45 | 53 | 49 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Sandyb 2y 27 | E Gowler — 25% R56 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 47 (2) | 40 (3) | 45 (4) | 14 (5) | 13 (4) | 74 (4) | 71 (3) | 95 (1) | 57 (2) | 62 (2) | 39 | 45 | 30 | 54 | 73 | 60 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Capel Cutieb 5y 25 | R M Emery — 10% R125 W12 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 62 (2) | 50 (5) | 50 (5) | 55 (5) | 66 (5) | 45 (4) | 70 (1) | 67 (1) | 56 (5) | 45 (3) | 37 | 24 | 25 | 28 | 54 | 44 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Jordanab 3y 35 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 47 (2) | 50 (2) | 15 (4) | 13 (5) | 57 (2) | 61 (3) | 57 (2) | 88 (1) | 59 (3) | 73 (4) | 34 | 33 | 21 | 35 | 61 | 49 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Chloes Lexieb 2y 16 | R M Emery — 10% R125 W12 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 56 | 50 (3) | 55 (3) | 70 (1) | 56 (2) | 41 (5) | 47 (4) | 32 (6) | 46 (3) | 56 (4) | 52 (4) | 40 | 30 | 21 | 32 | 54 | 46 | 3 | 2/1 | |
Savana Sandy is the standout in this race by a considerable margin. Her avgPerf of 73 is a full 9 points clear of the next best (Swift Jordana at 64) — a genuine class gap that should override structural concerns. Recent form is exceptional: 74→71→95→57→62, including a devastating 95 performance when winning at 548m. The two most recent 388m runs (57 and 62, both 2nd) show she's competitive at this shorter trip too, and she's dropping from open/A5 class to A6 — a clear class advantage the composite has captured. Trainer E Gowler at 32% is a strong-tier signal, the best in this field. Track suitability of 57 is the highest in the race, confirming proven Suffolk Downs form. The Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) is the main structural concern — she'll be last away and needs to close on the tightest UK circuit. But with a 9-point perf advantage, she can afford to fade from the closers into a position that still wins — she doesn't need to overcome the entire field, just sustain enough pace from behind. This is a class override scenario.
DANGER: DOMINANT T1 (28.57%), best EP (100), excellent suitability (all 40s), remarkably consistent form (61→61→61→64), and Brown at 35.71% at these conditions. The Fader who could lead all the way if the class dog can't close.
Consistent but consistently unplaced recently (5th four times from five). Decent ability (perf 57) and reasonable T3 draw but outclassed by the pick and outpaced by the T1 Fader. Placing prospect only.
Second-best ability (perf 64) but 9 points behind the pick and same Closer profile without the class edge. Consistent recent form (57→57→59 at 388m) but consistently 2nd-3rd. Could place but can't win.
Fader from T6 who'll show early but fade more than Go On Kir from the wider draw. Declining form (47→56→53→43→50) and class suit of 14 suggest she's struggling. Structural position alone won't overcome the ability gap.
NORMAL separation with R1 at 24.15% and R3 at 14.89% — a 9.26pp gap gives the composite meaningful predictive power. T1 is DOMINANT at 28.57%. T5 is severely DEAD at 10.53%. T2 at 17.44% is below expected — a structural headwind for the pick.
T1:28.57% T2:17.44% T3:21.28% T4:18.82% T5:10.53% T6:23.53%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Go On Kir | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Savana Sandy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Capel Cutie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Swift Jordana | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Chloes Lexie | 93 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.