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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skirk Bolgerd 3y 24 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 40 | 52 (4) | 66 (1) | 57 (2) | 48 (3) | 56 (2) | 52 (2) | 17 (5) | 12 (3) | 45 (5) | - | 42 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 51 | 43 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Giant Killerb 4y 35 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 45 (4) | 34 (6) | 54 (2) | 16 (5) | 13 (2) | 63 (5) | 65 (2) | 48 (3) | 76 (4) | - | 39 | 42 | 28 | 40 | 62 | 52 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Keady Stormd 2y 28 | E Gowler — 25% R56 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 57 | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 41 (3) | 44 (3) | 59 (1) | 56 (2) | 59 (1) | 16 (2) | 13 (5) | 51 (4) | 35 | 28 | 20 | 23 | 66 | 50 | 4 | 5/6F | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Bonob 3y 25 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 18 (2) | 61 (3) | 80 (1) | 80 (1) | 63 (3) | 59 (3) | 68 (3) | 62 (4) | 54 (2) | 57 (4) | 53 | 47 | 56 | 47 | 65 | 58 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Lightupthedarkd 1y 11 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 27 (2) | 18 (4) | 19 (3) | 24 (4) | 11 (6) | 13 (5) | 13 (6) | 19 (5) | 18 (3) | - | 64 | 56 | 28 | 56 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 4/1 | |
Savana Bono is the projected winner with a profile that genuinely fits Suffolk Downs' demands. His Front Runner designation (EP 57, pace consistency 83) means he breaks well and sustains — the ideal profile on the tightest UK circuit where front runners are virtually uncatchable. AvgPerf 68 is the second-highest in the field, and his recent form is strong: 62→81→80→64→60. Those back-to-back 81 and 80 performance wins at this C&D are exactly the kind of consistency you want to see. The dip to 64 and 60 came at a higher grade (A3/110), and he's back at A4 here which should suit. Suitability is the best all-round suite in the race: track 47, distance 47, trap 55, class 60 — that class suit of 60 is the highest in the field, meaning he's well within his comfort zone at A4. T5 at 20.55% from 73 runs is neutral structurally, but the Front Runner profile matters more than trap position at Suffolk Downs. Trainer J M Ray at 16% is below awareness, but the form speaks for itself.
DANGER: DOMINANT T6 (26.98%) with EP 85 and strong suitability (track 51, trap 59). Will lead early on a tight track where front runners hold. The CS 0 and variable form (63→55→58→74) are the risks. If she leads clear of bend 1, she's hard to catch.
The wildcard. Ceiling is the highest in the field by far (92 perf, 78, 85) with best bend (61) and best trainer (Gowler 32%). But pace data is unreliable and 52 (4th) at her last 388m A4 outing shows the floor. If she breaks well, she wins. If not, mid-pack.
Solid All-Rounder with best speed (56) and a fair T2 draw. Recent 77 win shows the ceiling but surrounded by 48 and 52 showing the floor. Will feature but lacks the pace profile, suitability, or structural advantage to win. Placing prospect.
Lowest ability (perf 53) in the field with a Closer profile that can't exploit the structurally strong T1 draw. Recent regression (45→43, both 5th). The rail helps but she needs a significant ability upgrade to feature. Unlikely to trouble the judge.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 23.86% vs R3 21.67% — just 2.19pp gap. T6 DOMINANT at 26.98%. The pick is in T5 (20.55%) — neutral structural position, but the Front Runner profile on a tight track is the decisive factor rather than trap position in a LOW SEPARATION race.
T1:23.91% T2:21.33% T3:23.91% T4:15% T5:20.55% T6:26.98%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skirk Bolger | 42 | 59 | Closer |
2Giant Killer | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3Keady Storm | 0 | 0 | Fader |
5Savana Bono | 56 | 50 | Front Runner |
6Lightupthedark | 81 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.