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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Belleb 3y 24 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 44 | 42 (5) | 58 (3) | 61 (3) | 47 (4) | 72 (1) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 52 | 46 | - | 34 | 46 | 46 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Shesdaguvnorb 2y 15 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 27 (3) | 28 (2) | 30 (2) | 73 (2) | 76 (1) | 45 (4) | 64 (2) | 25 (6) | 48 (4) | 56 (2) | 64 | 33 | 40 | 32 | 59 | 54 | 3 | 5/6F | |
| 3 | ▶ Quacksd 4yN/R 33 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 62 | 16 (5) | 13 (6) | 16 (5) | 20 (2) | 44 (4) | 51 (4) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 27 (5) | 32 (1) | 49 | 44 | 28 | - | 38 | 42 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Theresas Diamondb 2y 17 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 58 | 63 (1) | 48 (2) | 9 (6) | 33 (5) | 11 (6) | 22 (1) | 13 (4) | 37 (5) | 52 (4) | 48 (3) | 34 | 36 | 30 | 36 | 59 | 48 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Keady Cashoutd 2y 15 | E Gowler — 25% R56 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 44 | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 32 (1) | 15 (4) | 20 (3) | 54 (3) | 83 (3) | 44 | - | 35 | - | 66 | 56 | 4 | 5/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Up Northb 2y 15 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 61 (2) | 71 (1) | 65 (1) | 47 (3) | 22 (1) | 21 (1) | 15 (4) | 16 (3) | 49 (4) | 44 (5) | 36 | 27 | 11 | 27 | 51 | 42 | 5 | 16/1 | |
The Pred1 model has Savana Belle projected first on the strength of her suitability profile — track 53, distance 38, and crucially trap 68, the highest trap suitability in the field. She clearly has individual history from T1 that supports the pick. The concern, and it is significant on this track, is her Closer profile (EP 47, CS 64). Suffolk Downs is the tightest circuit in UK racing where front runners are virtually uncatchable — picking a Closer here goes against the track's fundamental character. Her recent form shows inconsistency: 42→59→62→47→72, with that 72 coming from a lower grade (A6 grade 95). At A5 level (grade 105), her last three reads were a mixed 42, 59, and 62. The rail draw is a genuine structural plus at 23.26% from 86 runs, which partly offsets the pace profile mismatch.
DANGER — and the AI analytical favourite. Best performance (57), best speed (61), DOMINANT T2 at 31.08%, All-Rounder profile that suits this tight track, and improving form (73→76). The data is as close to converging as it gets in a LOW SEPARATION race.
Hard to make a case at 388m. Sprint specialist (both wins at 220m) with a confirmed Fader profile and zero distance suitability. Will show early from T3 but the data says she'll weaken and T3 is the coldest trap here.
Decent ability (perf 55) in a solid T4 (23.58%) but the lowest suitability suite in the field (trap 23, track 32) and wildly inconsistent recent form (37→53→48→71→66→37). Could feature if others underperform but hard to trust.
Highest perf in field (66) and best trainer (Gowler 32%) but zero track and distance suitability, pure Closer profile from wide draw on UK's tightest circuit. Suffolk Downs 388m results bear it out: 3rd, 3rd, 4th. Class can't overcome this structural mismatch.
Mid-field ability (perf 53) from T6 with low suitability across every dimension (class 12, track 28). Consistent form but consistently mid-pack (50→45→54→38→54). Can place but winning from outside on the UK's tightest track looks unlikely.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 24.91% vs R3 at 25.45% — the model cannot reliably separate these dogs. T2 is structurally dominant at 31.08% from 74 runs, nearly double the expected 16.7% rate. Inside traps (T1-T2) combine for 54.34% of wins from 160 runs — the tight track heavily rewards the inside draw.
T1:23.26% T2:31.08% T3:17.65% T4:23.58% T5:21.31% T6:22.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Belle | 46 | 58 | Closer |
2Shesdaguvnor | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Quacks | 65 | 16 | Fader |
4Theresas Diamond | 57 | 30 | Fader |
5Keady Cashout | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Up North | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.