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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Isnt She Lovelyb 2y 18 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 74 (6) | 57 (1) | 43 (2) | 55 (5) | 52 (4) | 74 (4) | 70 (1) | 65 (1) | 53 (1) | - | 21 | 46 | - | 44 | 60 | 48 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Cosmicb 4y 23 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 86 (1) | 71 (3) | 56 (5) | 65 (4) | 66 (3) | 77 (2) | 61 (4) | 20 (5) | 17 (2) | - | 56 | 52 | 65 | 48 | 74 | 65 | 3 | 6/5F | |
| 3 | ▶ Tanny Jezabelleb 3y 17 | P J Manley — 23% R61 W14 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 35 (4) | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 42 (2) | 17 (2) | 14 (5) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 65 (2) | 60 (2) | 25 | 40 | 18 | 40 | 64 | 50 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballysloe Herod 4yN/R 34 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 38 | 43 (3) | 49 (4) | 16 (2) | 12 (5) | 22 (1) | 65 (3) | 72 (2) | 73 (4) | 79 (1) | 66 (3) | 39 | 51 | 25 | 55 | 74 | 61 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lily Sixtyeightb 3y 45 | P S Rea — 17% R520 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 64 | 63 (1) | 9 (1) | 15 (6) | 55 (3) | 74 (4) | 72 (1) | 50 (1) | 45 (3) | 41 (5) | - | 41 | 59 | - | 59 | 57 | 54 | 2 | 15/8 | |
Isnt She Lovely is the projected winner on the strength of her Front Runner profile from the inside rail — the ideal combination at Suffolk Downs. EP 77 with pace consistency 94 means she breaks fast and does it reliably, race after race. From T1 at 23.91% from 92 runs, she has a solid structural position on the tightest UK circuit where inside-drawn front runners are virtually uncatchable. Recent form includes a dominant 75 performance win at this C&D, followed by 57 (2nd), then weaker efforts of 43 (5th) and 55, 52 at higher grades. The form is inconsistent but the 75 win proves the ceiling is high when things click. Trainer M P Brown at 22% is moderate-tier and operates at 18.18% at 388m A4 specifically. Suitability is decent — track 44, distance 46 — confirming Suffolk Downs form. The low trap suit (22) is a minor concern but the Front Runner profile means she's dictating the race rather than reacting to it.
DANGER — and arguably the strongest structural case on the card. DOMINANT T6 (26.98%), best bend (67) by miles, best suitability (track 63, distance 63). Two recent wins (75, 72). The All-Rounder/borderline-Fader profile is better suited to Suffolk Downs than a Closer.
Joint-best ability (perf 74) and excellent suitability but pure Closer with zero EP on the tightest UK circuit. Suffolk Downs 388m results: 5th, 5th. Class can't overcome this structural mismatch at 4 bends. Needs to try 548m where her closing style works.
Strong Front Runner with excellent recent form (75→69 winning, 65→60 placing). T3 is structurally good (23.91%) but the speed duel with T1's Front Runner typically favours the inside dog. Could win if she clears the bend first but more likely 2nd-3rd.
Joint-best ability (perf 74) with strong form (65→73→74→79→66) but pure Closer from T5 on tightest UK circuit. Suffolk Downs results: 3rd, 2nd — places but can't win. High-class dog in the wrong race profile.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 23.86% vs R3 21.67% — just 2.19pp gap, ratings offer minimal edge. T6 is the structurally DOMINANT trap at 26.98% from 63 runs. T1 and T3 are both strong at 23.91% each. T4 is DEAD at 15% from 120 runs but unoccupied. Race dynamics and trap position matter more than composite here.
T1:23.91% T2:21.33% T3:23.91% T4:15% T5:20.55% T6:26.98%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Isnt She Lovely | 68 | 44 | Fader |
2Savana Cosmic | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Tanny Jezabelle | 67 | 50 | Front Runner |
5Ballysloe Hero | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Lily Sixtyeight | 50 | 12 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.