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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fire Height Cocob 3y 33 | Brian O'Sullivan — 0% R5 W0 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 35 (6) | 45 (6) | 75 (2) | 47 (5) | 59 (6) | 52 (6) | 57 (5) | 34 (6) | 36 (6) | 87 (2) | 28 | 19 | 10 | 14 | 51 | 20 | 6 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hadtobe Mald 2y 24 | - | - | 63 | - | 63 (4) | 62 (4) | 76 (2) | 75 (4) | 52 (6) | 56 (5) | 89 (1) | 51 (5) | 70 (4) | 69 (3) | 2 | 30 | 20 | 17 | 66 | 37 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Maid Of Ironb 4y 33 | - | - | 44 | - | 66 (6) | 52 (3) | 54 (4) | 52 (5) | 38 (5) | 73 (6) | 58 (3) | 51 (4) | 56 (6) | - | - | 6 | 36 | 7 | 56 | 23 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Scarty Mossd 2y 34 | - | - | 62 | - | 64 (3) | 43 (5) | 57 (6) | 58 (5) | 56 (6) | 91 (1) | 75 (2) | 72 (2) | 62 (4) | - | - | 30 | 6 | 15 | 62 | 33 | 2 | 6/4f | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Labana Curiousb 4y 23 | - | - | 55 | - | 58 (5) | 65 (4) | 57 (6) | 84 (1) | 16 (6) | 78 (2) | 65 (5) | 74 (3) | 80 (1) | 63 (3) | - | 33 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 53 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Shlowdown Dexterd 4y 15 | - | - | 44 | - | 55 (6) | 45 (6) | 46 (5) | 45 (6) | 38 (6) | 28 (4) | 48 (6) | 73 (1) | 77 (1) | 71 (2) | - | 31 | 7 | 18 | 52 | 39 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Height Coco | 29.33 | 29.79 | 29.98 | 38 | +0.65 | Off the boil | |
| 2 | Hadtobe Mal | 29.08 | 29.38 | 29.17 | 63 | +0.09 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Maid Of Iron | 29.24 | 29.76 | 29.74 | 44 | +0.50 | Did not finish LTO | |
| 4 | Scarty Moss | 28.93 | 29.47 | 29.21 | 62 | +0.28 | Fastest ever, weak trap | |
| 5 | Labana Curious | 29.24 | 29.38 | 29.48 | 55 | +0.24 | Won last time at this grade | |
| 6 | Shlowdown Dexter | 29.05 | 29.81 | 29.85 | 44 | +0.80 | Struggling recently |
This looks the strongest race on the card, with several dogs dropping down from the tougher A3 grade into this A4 company. Trap 2 has been the best-performing box in a large sample at this grade and trip, and the fastest dog in the field has historically won close to a quarter of the time here — comfortably the strongest single signal at this combination. Hadtobe Mal ticks both of those boxes: the highest speed rating in the field and drawn in the best trap, on top of a solid class drop from competitive A3 form. Scarty Moss has the fastest raw time on the card and a big career win in him, while Labana Curious carries the best average rating and won last time he raced at this exact grade. Expect this to be a genuinely competitive affair with the leading trio all going close.
The fastest recorded speed rating in this field, and has been competing right at the sharp end of A3 grade all season without quite getting his nose in front — a series of frequently-crowded finishes (fourth, fourth, second, fourth) shows he's rarely far away. Dropping into A4 tonight represents a genuine class edge, and he's drawn in trap 2, the best-performing box in a large sample at this grade and trip. Track and class suitability figures are both strong.
Has the fastest time ever recorded in this field and produced an impressive front-running win at A3 grade back in March, so the engine is clearly there. Form since has been up and down, with plenty of interference in running, but a repeat of his best would take plenty of beating. Trap 4 has been the weakest box in the sample studied, which is the concern.
Carries the highest average rating in the field and won impressively the last time he contested this exact grade, leading from the third bend and staying on well. Has since been competing at the tougher A3 level without disgracing himself. Track, distance and class suitability figures are all strong, and trap 5 is a solidly productive box.
Showed a big effort in second back in May but has faded in the last two starts, with his most recent time well off his own best. Dropping from A3 grade gives him a chance to bounce, but the current shape of his form is against him tonight.
Failed to finish last time out having been tailed off, which is a concerning form line, though she has shown ability at this exact grade before with a third in May. Times have been modest and trap 3 is only an average box in the sample studied.
Has decent recorded times but recent finishes have all been well beaten, with plenty of trouble in running — crowded, blocked or outpaced in each of his last five starts. There's little in the current run of results to suggest he's ready to trouble the leading pair tonight.
Key insight: 1,080 runs at this grade and trip. Trap 2 is the clear best box at 17.71%, well clear of trap 4's 11.73%. The fastest dog in the field wins 24.83% of the time — the strongest single factor here, well ahead of the model's own composite pick at 17.98%.
T1:12.57% T2:17.71% T3:12.57% T4:11.73% T5:14.29% T6:14.12%
1,080 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 500m | 525m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Height Coco | 0.562 | 0.576 | 0.567 | — |
| 2 | Hadtobe Mal | — | — | 0.560 | — |
| 3 | Maid Of Iron | — | — | 0.567 | — |
| 4 | Scarty Moss | — | — | 0.561 | — |
| 5 | Labana Curious | — | — | 0.560 | 0.589 |
| 6 | Shlowdown Dexter | — | — | 0.568 | 0.576 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.