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Kingdom Stadium Novice Stakes Semi-Final
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Beginish Patod 1y | - | - | 51 | - | 46 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 30 | - | 30 | 46 | 33 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Doggyinthewindowd 1y 11 | Michael Baker — 10% R10 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 41 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 41 | 16 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Chlas Bandicotd 1y 1 | James O'Regan — 26% R23 W6 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 1/1f | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bobsleigh Thrillb 1yN/R 1 | - | - | 49 | - | 44 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 44 | 15 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Old Timesb 1y 11 | Oliver Healy — 33% R3 W1 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 50 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 25 | - | 27 | 50 | 35 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beginish Pato | 29.86 | 29.86 | 29.86 | 51 | 0.00 | Best finisher LTO | |
| 2 | Doggyinthewindow | 29.67 | 29.67 | 29.67 | 60 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Chlas Bandicot | No time recorded last time out — tailed off in the same heat as most of tonight's field. | — | Tailed off LTO | ||||
| 4 | Bobsleigh Thrill | 29.90 | 29.90 | 29.90 | 49 | 0.00 | Weak trap | |
| 6 | Old Times | 30.04 | 30.04 | 30.04 | 42 | 0.00 | Blocked LTO, weak trap | |
All five of these met each other in an open novice heat here at Tralee just a week ago, so this plays out almost like a straight rematch. In the sample studied for this grade and trip, trap 2 has been the strongest box at 33.33% and trap 1 close behind at 28.57%, while traps 4, 5 and 6 haven't produced a winner between them — useful context given two of tonight's runners occupy those weaker boxes. Doggyinthewindow drew the best trap in the sample AND clocked the fastest time of anyone in last week's heat, even though she didn't finish it out with a flourish. Beginish Pato was the pick of the finishers that day, doing plenty early before fading late, and gets the second-best box tonight. Expect a similar shape again — an even pace with whoever handles the first bend cleanest doing best.
Clocked the fastest time of the whole field in last week's heat, and the highest speed rating of anyone declared tonight, even though she didn't produce a strong closing burst and was only fourth home. That kind of raw pace matters, and she's drawn in trap 2, the single best-performing box in the sample studied for this grade and trip. On these numbers she looks the type to go one better with a cleaner run through.
Went forward early and did plenty right in last week's heat before fading to finish second, the best result of anyone lining up again tonight. His time was the second-quickest recorded and trap 1 has been a strong box in the sample studied for this grade and trip. If he can find a touch more petrol in the closing stages this time he's the obvious danger to the selection.
Tailed off in last week's heat with no time recorded, finishing last of the runners declared again tonight. There's nothing in that solitary run to build a case on, and trap 3 is only moderate in the sample studied for this grade and trip.
Was slowly away last week but kept running to the line for third, suggesting there might be more to come with a sharper start. Her time split the pace-setters reasonably well, but trap 4 hasn't produced a winner in the sample studied for this grade and trip, which works against her tonight.
Was badly blocked at the first bend last week but battled on for fourth, and there could be more in the locker with a clear passage. The recorded time was the slowest of the group, though, and trap 6 has failed to produce a winner in the sample studied for this grade and trip.
Key insight: 72 runs recorded at this open novice grade and trip. Traps 1 and 2 dominate, between them accounting for the majority of winners, while traps 4-6 are blank. The model's top-rated dog has managed only 13.33% here, so the draw is doing more of the talking than the raw rating at this level.
T1:28.57% T2:33.33% T3:20% T4:0% T5:0% T6:0%
72 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.