Loading...
Kingdom Stadium Novice Stakes Semi-Final
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Woodcliff Magicb 1y 1 | - | - | 50 | - | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 15 | - | 16 | 46 | 27 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Stayaway Jackd 1y 1 | - | - | 62 | - | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 42 | 16 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Waiting For Youd 1y | - | - | 83 | - | 56 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 40 | - | 41 | 56 | 44 | 1 | 1/4f | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Timmys Herod 1yN/R 1 | - | - | 8 | - | 32 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 11 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Nomoneyforthirdb 3y 11 | - | - | 20 | - | 34 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 12 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woodcliff Magic | 30.04 | 30.04 | 30.04 | 50 | 0.00 | Blocked LTO, ran on | |
| 2 | Stayaway Jack | 29.81 | 29.81 | 29.81 | 62 | 0.00 | Best trap | |
| 3 | Waiting For You | 29.38 | 29.38 | 29.38 | 83 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Timmys Hero | 30.88 | 30.88 | 30.88 | 8 | 0.00 | Bumped LTO, slowest | |
| 6 | Nomoneyforthird | 30.64 | 30.64 | 30.64 | 20 | 0.00 | Bumped LTO |
Like the previous race on the card, this quintet all met in an open novice heat here last week, so the formbook is unusually direct for a race at this level. Trap 3 has been a solid, if unspectacular, box in the sample studied for this grade and trip at 20%, but the real story here is one dog standing out on raw figures. Waiting For You was slowly away last week yet still ran the fastest time of anyone in the field by a big margin, and did so finishing second throughout — a clear step above this company on the clock. Nothing else in the race gets remotely near her recorded time, and two of tonight's runners were bumped and never travelled last time out.
Was slowly away last week yet still ran out the fastest time of anyone in this field by more than four lengths' worth of ground, finishing second throughout without ever being able to get past the winner. That's a standout effort against this exact group of rivals, and the highest average rating in the race backs it up. One run isn't a mountain of evidence, but the scale of the gap here — both on the clock and in the finish — is hard to ignore. She looks the one they all have to catch.
Ran a fair time last week but never really got competitive, finishing fifth without producing a sustained effort. Still, his time was the second-quickest in the field and trap 2 has been the best-performing box in the sample studied for this grade and trip — enough to make him the clear second string if the selection has any hiccup.
Was badly blocked at the first bend last week but kept running to finish third, so there could be a bit more to come with a clean break. Her recorded time, though, is over half a second slower than the field's standout, and she'll need a career-best to trouble her tonight.
Was bumped at the first bend last week and never recovered, finishing with the slowest time of the group. There's an excuse in there, but even accounting for the interference this looks well below the pace of the leading dogs in this field.
Also bumped early last week and never got competitive, finishing fourth in a modest time. Trap 6 has failed to produce a winner in the sample studied for this grade and trip, and there isn't enough here to suggest she troubles the front two tonight.
Key insight: 72 runs recorded at this open novice grade and trip. Traps 1 and 2 have been the strongest, trap 3 moderate at 20%. The bigger factor tonight is the individual form gap rather than the draw itself.
T1:28.57% T2:33.33% T3:20% T4:0% T5:0% T6:0%
72 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.