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The Connect 6 Jackpot 325
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Supersonic Peted 4y 33 | - | - | 55 | - | 55 (5) | 39 (5) | 57 (3) | 58 (4) | 30 (6) | 82 (1) | 56 (5) | 54 (2) | - | - | 3 | 17 | - | 9 | 53 | 22 | 1 | 1/2f | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Laid Back Mikeyd 2y 27 | - | - | 51 | - | 47 (3) | 40 (6) | 62 (1) | 34 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 12 | 20 | 46 | 29 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Thats Amazingd 2y 26 | - | - | 44 | - | 32 (6) | 45 (3) | 28 (6) | 26 (6) | 44 (3) | 39 (2) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | 18 | 4 | - | - | 36 | 15 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Devon Mistb 1y | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supersonic Pete | 18.07 | 18.37 | 18.07 | 59 | 0.00 | Fastest speed rating | |
| 2 | Manhattan | 18.42 | 18.60 | 18.42 | 44 | 0.00 | Weak trap | |
| 3 | Thats Amazing | 18.26 | 18.42 | 18.58 | 47 | +0.32 | Dropping in grade | |
| 4 | Toremore Iris | 17.99 | 18.65 | 18.35 | 51 | +0.36 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Devon Mist | No 325m form — only prior run was over 525m and ended in a knock-down. Times not comparable. | — | Distance switch | ||||
| 6 | Caher Millie | No 325m form — only prior run was over 525m at a different track and she was outpaced. Times not comparable. | — | Distance switch | ||||
This sprint over 325m rewards a clean break and early pace above everything else — there's no time for a slow starter to find room once the field is strung out. The course data for this exact grade and trip is a small sample but tells a clear story: trap 4 has won 40% of its starts, way out in front of every other box, while traps 5 and 6 haven't produced a single winner between them. That lines up neatly with Toremore Iris, drawn in trap 4 and boasting the fastest recorded time in the entire field. Supersonic Pete is the type to lead and has the second-best time on the clock, so expect him to go forward from the get-go, with Toremore Iris and Thats Amazing the ones best placed to pounce if he weakens. Devon Mist and Caher Millie both arrive with their only recent experience over the longer 525m trip, and neither run went smoothly.
Has the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field and drops back to the sprint trip after two eye-catching runs at the longer 525m distance, including a close second where she led at the third bend. She does have previous course-and-distance experience over 325m from earlier in the year, so this isn't a leap into the complete unknown, and trap 4 has been by far the strongest box in the sample studied for this exact grade and trip. A dog in good heart right now, dropping to a trip where the draw is squarely on her side.
Owns the fastest speed rating in this field and has the early pace to lead from the box, doing exactly that last time out before weakening late to finish fifth. Form has been up and down (55, 39, 57, 58, 30, 82 across his last six) but the peak figures show real ability, including a win from the front back in December. Trap 1 has a fair record at this grade and trip, and if he gets the run of the race early there could be plenty to like — the concern is holding on once the sprint speed starts to fade.
Recent form has been modest at both this trip and over 525m, never really threatening in his last six starts. Trainer Padraig Regan has a moderate 25% strike rate, which offers some encouragement, but the raw times and ratings put him firmly behind the pace-setters in this field. Trap 2 is one of the weaker boxes at this grade and trip.
Dropping down from a run at the tougher A8 grade over 525m, and his sprint form has been mixed — decent enough for third three starts back but well beaten in two of his last three. His recorded time has slipped from 18.26 to 18.58 across his recent runs, the wrong direction, and trap 3 has been one of the weaker boxes in the sample studied.
Her only recent run was over the longer 525m trip and ended in a knock-down at the first bend, leaving nothing usable to judge her sprint credentials on. Stepping down to 325m for what amounts to a fresh start, and trap 5 hasn't produced a winner in the sample studied at this grade and trip either. Very much an unknown quantity tonight.
Switches to this trip and this track together, with her only recent form coming over 525m at Limerick where she was bumped early and outpaced late. Nothing in that solitary run offers evidence for how she'll take to a sprint at Tralee, and trap 6 has drawn a blank in the small sample studied for this grade and trip.
Key insight: A small sample of 59 runs at this grade and trip, but trap 4 stands out sharply at 40% while traps 5 and 6 haven't won at all. The model's own top-rated dog has managed only 11% here — well below the fourth and fifth-rated dogs — so this is a race to lean on the draw and the clock rather than the raw rating.
T1:20% T2:11.11% T3:9.09% T4:40% T5:0% T6:0%
59 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 325m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 325m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (325m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supersonic Pete | 0.565 | 0.559 |
| 2 | Laid Back Mikey | 0.564 | 0.580 |
| 3 | Thats Amazing | 0.567 | 0.582 |
| 4 | Devon Mist | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.