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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Clononeen Anab 2y 24 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 50 (5) | 57 (3) | 44 (4) | 36 (5) | 41 (2) | 38 (1) | 63 (6) | 79 (3) | 67 (1) | - | 23 | 47 | - | 30 | 60 | 51 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Spartan Soldierb 2y 28 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 64 (1) | 56 (2) | 60 (1) | 31 (2) | 24 (4) | 23 (4) | 18 (3) | 32 (2) | 21 (2) | 48 (3) | 65 | 58 | 40 | 78 | 44 | 52 | 1 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Stormy Neymard 2y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 36 (2) | 23 (5) | 46 (1) | 29 (5) | 41 (1) | 52 (4) | 51 (3) | 60 (1) | 31 (3) | 34 (3) | 59 | 51 | - | 40 | 39 | 43 | 3 | 7/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Air Mixb 3y 5 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 28 (4) | 32 (3) | 39 (1) | 24 (5) | 31 (5) | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 41 (1) | 33 (2) | 29 (4) | 25 | 49 | 40 | 48 | 41 | 41 | 4 | 11/10F | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballinabola Milab 3y 35 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 31 (6) | 50 (3) | 66 (1) | 29 (5) | 23 (6) | 39 (3) | 30 (5) | 36 (1) | 52 (4) | 49 (3) | 46 | 27 | 23 | 30 | 46 | 42 | 5 | 5/1 | |
The predicted winner with composite 52, driven by outstanding suitability — track 58, distance 78, trap 65, class 40 for a mean of 60.2. That's the best suitability in the field by a huge margin (the next best is Air Mix at 40.5). The distance suitability of 78 is exceptional and tells us this dog has proven form over 277m at Yarmouth — he handles this specific trip and venue better than anyone else in the field. He's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 49) with balanced pace, which is ideal at a sprint — not too fast to burn out, not too slow to get left behind. Form reads 5th(49), 1st(60), 4th(38), 1st(35), 4th(36) — inconsistent, with the two wins producing only modest perf figures (60, 35). The perf of 44 is second-lowest in the field, which is a genuine concern. Dropping from A3 which is a significant class drop to D2. T3 wins 17.4% from 46 runs — slightly below expected. Trainer K L Windebank at 20% from 10 runs at D2 is near average. The suitability dominance (60.2 mean) is the driving force — at D2 level where ability differences are small, the dog who handles the specific conditions best is likely to win.
DANGER: Best perf in the field (60) with a 14-point class gap over the average. The Closer profile (EP 46, CS 79) at a sprint is structurally risky but Yarmouth's fair track gives some room. If the leaders bunch up, she has the finishing speed to come through.
Decent speed (51) and balanced pace profile suit a sprint, but the step up from D3 and low perf (39) limit prospects. A mid-field player likely to be competitive but not dangerous for the win.
Best speed in the field (54) and has deep CD experience, but five consecutive 3rd-4th finishes with no wins tells you everything. A consistent placer who seems to have a ceiling. The T5 34.5% win rate from 29 runs is interesting but too small to lean on.
Fader from the widest draw at a sprint — T6 wins just 14.3% from 42 runs, the weakest position. Two D3 wins don't guarantee competitiveness at D2. Has early pace (EP 57) but the structural disadvantage from T6 limits her chances.
269 runs total. T5 shows a huge 34.5% win rate but from just 29 runs — intriguing but statistically unreliable. T6 is the weakest at 14.3% from 42 runs — more credible given the sample. The composite model is reasonably predictive: R1 wins 30% from 110 runs. At D2 277m this is a modest grade with thin margins between runners.
T1:19.7% T2:20.9% T3:17.4% T4:18.6% T5:34.5% T6:14.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.