| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Chelms Charmerd 3yN/R 16 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 82 | 56 | 71 (4) | 79 (4) | 55 (5) | 61 (3) | 63 (5) | 97 (1) | 98 (1) | 95 (1) | 64 (4) | 95 (1) | 40 | 73 | - | 57 | 91 | 79 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Derrygrath Laurab 3y 5 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 49 | 55 (3) | 61 (3) | 50 (5) | 54 (3) | 45 (5) | 46 (5) | 49 (5) | 14 (5) | 74 (5) | - | 41 | 31 | - | 29 | 58 | 49 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Harlequin Roseb 3y 6 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 48 (5) | 50 (5) | 56 (2) | 79 (4) | 49 (1) | 65 (5) | 49 (2) | 79 (5) | 60 (1) | - | 40 | 18 | 20 | 28 | 53 | 44 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Steeld 3y 22 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 41 | 34 (5) | 67 (3) | 77 (2) | 37 (2) | 36 (1) | 38 (4) | 37 (3) | 34 (2) | 41 (4) | - | 39 | 44 | 44 | 41 | 38 | 39 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Crypto Walletd 3y 5 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 38 | 57 (4) | 55 (4) | 74 (2) | 55 (1) | 62 (4) | 77 (4) | 66 (4) | 58 (3) | 63 (3) | - | 33 | 28 | 22 | 30 | 64 | 52 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Fleetwood Breezeb 2y 6 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 54 | 64 (3) | 60 (5) | 70 (2) | 66 (3) | 84 (1) | 62 (4) | 83 (2) | 90 (1) | 81 (1) | 38 (3) | 44 | 35 | 42 | 44 | 56 | 51 | 1 | 11/8F | |
The banker of the night. Performance 91 in an A4 field averaging approximately 55 — a 36-point class gap that makes this the most one-sided race on the entire card. The form is just absurd at this level: 1st(95), 2nd(95), 1st(100), 1st(78), 2nd(91). Every single recent performance is higher than the BEST performance any other dog in this field has ever produced. She's the best dog on the entire Yarmouth card tonight, and she's dropping from A1 to A4 — approximately six grades of class advantage. The Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) is perfect for Yarmouth 462m, and the long home straight gives her all the time she needs to close through inferior opposition. Speed (82) is the best in the field by a distance (next best is 54). Suitability is the best at 42.5 mean (track 73, distance 57, trap 40). T1 wins 19.3% from 161 runs — above expected. Trainer C R Morris at 27.3% from 11 runs at A4 (small sample but positive). This is a dog that has produced a perfect 100 performance at A1 level being asked to beat A4 runners. The class gap is so enormous that pace profile, trap position, and every other structural factor is irrelevant. She'll be last early and first at the line — the gap between her closing speed and the field's ability to hold her off is vast.
DANGER: Second-highest perf (64) and the Closer profile that thrives at Yarmouth 462m. The most likely runner-up behind the dominant pick. The 27-point perf gap to Chelms Charmer means winning is unrealistic, but he's clearly the best of the rest.
Capable A4 runner with two 70-perf wins, but the 33-point gap to Chelms Charmer (91 vs 58) is unbridgeable. The All-Rounder profile and CD experience make her a player for second.
Drawn in the dominant T3 with decent speed (54) but stepping up from D2 to A4 with the Fader profile that Yarmouth punishes. Will show early and weaken. No chance against the pick.
Lowest perf in the field (38) despite a decent draw (T4 dominant) and reasonable suitability. The ability isn't there to challenge even without the pick's class superiority. Back-of-field prospect.
DEAD T6 draw (14.0% from 272 runs), Fader profile at a track that punishes front runners, and a massive class step from D1. Will show early pace and weaken through the straight. The structural and class headwinds make her a non-factor.
1,365 runs. T3 and T4 are jointly the best traps at 21.6-21.7%. T6 DEAD at 14.0% from 272 runs. T1 is above expected at 19.3% from 161 runs — a solid draw for the pick. Model separation is decent: R1 at 22.0%. But the real story here is the class gap — perf 91 in a field averaging ~55 is a 36-point class advantage that renders structural factors secondary.
T1:19.3% T2:16.6% T3:21.6% T4:21.7% T5:16.7% T6:14.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Chelms Charmer | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Derrygrath Laura | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
3Harlequin Rose | 58 | 35 | Fader |
4Good Steel | 49 | 56 | Closer |
5Crypto Wallet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Fleetwood Breeze | 56 | 35 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.