Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Somersham Lexieb 2y 18 | D J Prentice — 23% R39 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 44 | 77 (1) | 65 (2) | 59 (4) | 69 (3) | 64 (3) | 85 (1) | 56 (5) | 58 (5) | 77 (1) | 59 (2) | 46 | 34 | 37 | 34 | 66 | 56 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Knockduff Dancerb 3y 4 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 53 | 53 (5) | 64 (2) | 71 (2) | 67 (2) | 79 (1) | 61 (3) | 48 (6) | 33 (5) | 53 (6) | - | 39 | 38 | 27 | 29 | 59 | 51 | 2 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumdoit Busterd 5y 16 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 51 | 50 (5) | 53 (5) | 49 (5) | 47 (5) | 46 (5) | 41 (6) | 54 (4) | 49 (4) | 47 (6) | 49 (5) | 26 | 15 | 14 | 24 | 54 | 43 | 5 | 16/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballycowen Alfied 2y 17 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 68 (2) | 53 (5) | 67 (3) | 66 (3) | 77 (3) | 86 (1) | 79 (2) | 79 (2) | 83 (1) | 57 (3) | 25 | 29 | - | 29 | 63 | 51 | 3 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ Crypto Only Mateb 2y 26 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 39 | 65 (4) | 50 (5) | 84 (6) | 73 (5) | 82 (1) | 100 (4) | 22 (3) | 100 (1) | - | - | 22 | 29 | 11 | 26 | 68 | 53 | 4 | 10/3 | |
The predicted winner with composite 56 — a slim lead in a closely matched field. She's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50) with the ideal pace profile for Yarmouth 462m, where sustained effort through the long straight matters more than blinding early speed or extreme closing pace. Performance of 66 is the second-highest in the field behind Crypto Only Mate (68). Form is consistent: 2nd(65), 4th(59), 3rd(69), 3rd(64), 1st(85) — she's placed in 4 of 5 recent starts with the 85 perf win showing genuine ability at A3 level. Speed (55) is the second-best and the highest among the non-Closers. All five recent runs are at this CD, confirming deep course knowledge. The draw in T2 is a concern: T2 wins just 16.4% from 207 runs at A3 — below expected. Suitability is moderate at 37.8 mean (trap suit 46 is the best part). In a LOW SEPARATION race where R1 and R2 win at virtually identical rates (19.7% vs 19.4%), the composite edge is minimal. This is a pick based on the balanced pace profile more than raw numbers. Trainer D J Prentice isn't in the A3 data.
DANGER: Drawn in the DOMINANT T3 (25.8%) in a low-separation race where trap bias is the primary signal. Drops from A2 and has the Closer profile that thrives at Yarmouth 462m. Five consecutive 4th/5th finishes at A2 is concerning, but the grade drop and structural advantage make her the primary threat.
Significant class step up from A7 with the worst suitability in the field (19.8 mean). The Fader profile at Yarmouth means he'll show early but weaken. An early-pace contributor who is unlikely to sustain at this level.
Sets the pace with best EP and bend but consistently finishes 3rd-5th — a frontrunner who can't hold on at Yarmouth's galloping 462m. Below-average T5 draw and trainer rate compound the pattern. The pacemaker.
Best perf (68) and speed (57) but drawn in the DEAD T6 (13.5% from 238 runs). Five consecutive finishing positions of 4th-6th despite good form figures. The DEAD draw is too much to overcome — he'll close but arrive too late. The structural mismatch outweighs the ability.
1,403 runs. LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 19.7% vs R2 at 19.4% — virtually identical, the model barely separates the top two ranks. T3 DOMINANT at 25.8% from 256 runs. T6 DEAD at 13.5% from 238 runs. In a low-separation A3 race, trap position is the dominant factor. C R Morris at 33.3% from 18 runs at A3 stands out. D J Prentice (pick's trainer) not in the data.
T1:18.6% T2:16.4% T3:25.8% T4:17.4% T5:15.5% T6:13.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Somersham Lexie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Knockduff Dancer | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Drumdoit Buster | 59 | 22 | Fader |
5Ballycowen Alfie | 63 | 27 | Fader |
6Crypto Only Mate | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.