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The Keith Munnings Memorial Trophy Race
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Somersham Faithb 3y 26 | D J Prentice — 23% R39 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 48 (5) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 83 (1) | 63 (5) | 55 (4) | 56 (5) | 47 (5) | 71 (4) | 69 (4) | 17 | 40 | 25 | 40 | 75 | 60 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kilara Trojand 3y 4 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 45 | 80 (2) | 63 (5) | 91 (1) | 63 (5) | 92 (1) | 67 (4) | 49 (6) | 91 (1) | 63 (3) | 64 (4) | 48 | 27 | 25 | 36 | 70 | 58 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Rockmount Nellieb 2y 28 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 65 | 27 (5) | 27 (4) | 36 (2) | 84 (2) | 92 (1) | 72 (2) | 87 (1) | 35 (2) | 48 (6) | 75 (2) | 64 | 79 | 71 | 86 | 69 | 72 | 1 | 8/13F | |
| 5 | ▶ Muxton Ladyb 2y 15 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 66 (3) | 53 (4) | 89 (1) | 35 (5) | 52 (4) | 81 (1) | 65 (3) | 56 (4) | 55 (5) | 51 (5) | 19 | 34 | - | 40 | 73 | 58 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Wee Mac Jimbod 2y 16 | K J Cobbold — 24% R152 W36 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 57 (5) | 87 (4) | 60 (1) | 83 (4) | 63 (1) | 52 (5) | 85 (5) | 61 (1) | 55 (5) | - | 30 | 32 | 14 | 32 | 68 | 55 | 5 | 7/1 | |
The predicted winner and a fascinating selection. Composite 72 leads the field by a clear margin, driven by extraordinary suitability — track 79, distance 86, trap 64, class 71 giving a mean of 75.0. That suitability score is the highest of any runner in any race on tonight's Yarmouth card. It tells us that Rockmount Nellie has proven, repeatedly, that she thrives at this specific venue, distance, and class level. She's a confirmed Fader (EP 100, CS 0) with the best speed (63) and best bend (65) in the field — she will lead from the first turn and set the pace. The Fader profile at Yarmouth 462m is a structural concern (just 20% all-the-way winners), but when suitability is this high, it means the dog has WON here despite the fade before. The distance suit of 86 is particularly telling — she handles 462m well enough to win repeatedly despite the CS 0. Form shows 1st(87), 1st(23), 2nd(35), 1st(24), 6th(48) — the 87 is dominant A1 quality, though the inconsistency in other runs is notable. She's stepping up from A2 but the class suit of 71 confirms she's competed successfully at this level. Trainer C R Morris at 25.7% from 35 runs at A1 Yarmouth is above average and is placing this dog specifically to capitalise on the suitability advantage.
DANGER: Joint-highest perf (75) with two 90+ wins at A1 recently. The Closer profile suits this track. Needs the Fader to weaken and the All-Rounders not to sustain. A genuine threat if the pace is strong early.
Solid recent form (85, 82 wins) and drawn in the dominant T3. But stepping up a grade with below-average speed and bend ratings means he'll be tracking rather than competing for the lead. The structural position helps but the class test is the question.
Strong form at A2 level (85, 78) but low suitability (23.2 mean) for these specific A1 Yarmouth conditions. T5 is structurally below average. Has the ability but hasn't proved it at this exact setup.
Two quality A1 wins (87, 83) mixed with three below-par efforts. The inconsistency and low suitability (27.0 mean) make him unreliable. Can win on his day but that day is unpredictable.
1,420 runs. T4 is neutral at 18.0% from 289 runs. The model's R1 win rate of 25.3% provides good separation. C R Morris (trainer of pick) at 25.7% from 35 runs at A1 Yarmouth. The suitability confirmation (75.0 mean) is the overwhelmingly dominant signal in this race.
T1:17.1% T2:20.7% T3:22.4% T4:18.0% T5:17.0% T6:19.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Somersham Faith | 47 | 55 | Closer |
3Kilara Trojan | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Rockmount Nellie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Muxton Lady | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Wee Mac Jimbo | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.