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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crossfield Bellab 2y 24 | R D Copping — 11% R82 W9 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 42 | 70 (3) | 57 (5) | 77 (2) | 86 (1) | 74 (3) | 72 (2) | 76 (2) | 66 (4) | 68 (3) | 83 (1) | 57 | 60 | 14 | 61 | 69 | 66 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Bluejig Tankd 5y 39 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 78 (1) | 58 (3) | 52 (5) | 73 (3) | 82 (1) | 61 (4) | 58 (4) | 67 (2) | 70 (2) | 55 (5) | 42 | 31 | 37 | 38 | 66 | 56 | 5 | 11/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Carrigoon Wesd 3y 17 | K J Cobbold — 24% R152 W36 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 66 (3) | 52 (1) | 46 (4) | 56 (5) | 71 (4) | 70 (4) | 45 (2) | 83 (6) | 37 (1) | - | 72 | 37 | 17 | 33 | 62 | 57 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Rapido Camillab 3y 25 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 50 (5) | 74 (5) | 75 (2) | 76 (2) | 70 (2) | 72 (3) | 81 (2) | 71 (1) | 53 (3) | - | 36 | 37 | 18 | 36 | 71 | 59 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ Lemon Charlieb 2y 15 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 54 | 42 (5) | 84 (6) | 62 (1) | 52 (3) | 65 (6) | 66 (3) | 56 (5) | 58 (5) | 53 (5) | - | 34 | 31 | 19 | 39 | 70 | 58 | 3 | 11/4 | |
The predicted winner with the highest composite in the field at 66, driven by a combination of best suitability (48.0 mean — track 60, distance 61, trap 57, class 14) and solid performance (69). She's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50), which is the ideal pace profile for Yarmouth 462m where front runners weaken and extreme Closers sometimes arrive too late. Four of five recent runs are at this CD, showing deep course knowledge. The form trajectory is consistent: 3rd(74), 2nd(77), 4th(66), 3rd(69), 1st(83) — always involved, and the 83 and 77 show genuine A2 ability. She's drawn in T1 which wins 18.7% from 251 runs at A2 — neutral, slightly above expected. The concern is that T3 (25%) and T2 (22.5%) are structurally better positions, and her trap suit of 57 suggests she's done well from inside boxes historically but T1 specifically is not her strongest position. Trainer R D Copping isn't in the condition data for this combo. The All-Rounder profile should see her track the Faders and maintain effort where they tire.
DANGER: Best form trajectory in the field — five consecutive strong runs culminating in an 82 perf win. Perf 71 and excellent CD consistency make her a genuine threat. The mild Fader profile (CS 42) is more sustainable than pure Faders in this field.
Solid last win (82 perf) but stepping up a grade with moderate suitability. The T2 structural advantage is real but the speed and bend numbers are below field average. Each-way player at best.
Drawn in the best trap with the highest trap suit — structural factors point to him strongly. But volatile form (83 to 37) and the Fader profile at a track that punishes front runners create too much uncertainty. The position helps but doesn't guarantee.
Quality Closer (perf 70, CS 100, best speed 56) but the DEAD T6 draw (12.6% from 198 runs) is a severe structural handicap. Needs the pace to collapse AND to overcome the widest path through the field. Hard to back confidently despite the ability.
1,492 runs. T3 DOMINANT at 25% from 268 runs — well above expected. T6 is DEAD at 12.6% from 198 runs. T2 also strong at 22.5%. Model separation is decent: R1 wins 24.1% vs R3 at 14.6%. Trainer L Brown 40% from 10 runs, C R Morris 25% from 28 runs stand out. I J Barnard at 27.8% from 18 runs is quietly strong.
T1:18.7% T2:22.5% T3:25.0% T4:22.1% T5:16.5% T6:12.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Crossfield Bella | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Bluejig Tank | 41 | 66 | Closer |
3Carrigoon Wes | 60 | 27 | Fader |
4Rapido Camilla | 57 | 42 | Fader |
6Lemon Charlie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.