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THE FUTURE OF RACING: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mercia Anglod 3y 15 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 37 | 78 (3) | 47 (3) | 37 (6) | 47 (4) | 67 (2) | 67 (2) | 65 (2) | 55 (2) | - | - | 38 | 29 | 38 | 33 | 65 | 54 | 5 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Eagles Ebzd 1y 25 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 49 | 41 (4) | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 30 (2) | 33 (2) | 30 (6) | 36 (1) | 37 (6) | 59 (2) | 56 (3) | 39 | 52 | - | 40 | 53 | 50 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Coalville Cloverb 2y 16 | S J Cull — 11% R101 W11 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 72 (1) | 51 (4) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 61 (3) | 60 (2) | 54 (4) | 52 (6) | 61 (3) | 57 (4) | 23 | 16 | - | 20 | 54 | 42 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Mohican Hallieb 1y 18 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 60 | 55 (4) | 45 (5) | 36 (6) | 41 (6) | 75 (1) | 54 (4) | 45 (5) | 72 (1) | 49 (4) | 55 (3) | 48 | 43 | 39 | 43 | 58 | 53 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Easy Magico b 4y 16 | I E Walker — 13% R241 W32 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 61 (2) | 57 (4) | 72 (1) | 65 (2) | 48 (4) | 65 (4) | 64 (2) | 49 (2) | 63 (5) | - | 20 | 32 | 25 | 29 | 55 | 45 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mid Tipp Goosed 2y 8 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 47 | 70 (1) | 39 (5) | 62 (2) | 53 (4) | 67 (2) | 53 (3) | 42 (5) | 47 (4) | 76 (1) | 72 (1) | 32 | 33 | 27 | 32 | 47 | 42 | 3 | 3/1 | |
The predicted winner drawn in the structurally strong T2 (21.3% from 80 runs), the second-best trap at A5 480m. A confirmed Closer (EP 33, CS 100) who should sit behind the pace and close late. Average performance 54 is decent and she's dropping from A4, which should provide a class edge at A5. Suitability is good: track 54, distance 45, trap 40 — she goes well at Dunstall Park. However, the most recent form is concerning: a 37 performance last time out is a significant drop from her 66 two runs back. This kind of form decline raises questions about whether she's at her best. The model projects her as the winner, likely weighting the class drop and suitability, but the declining trajectory is a legitimate concern. Trainer D T Smith at 20% is a moderate positive.
DANGER: Best bend rating (59), adaptable All-Rounder profile, and strong trainer (22%). Below-average trap is the one concern but individual suitability compensates.
Recent form of 66 is encouraging but T6 is dead at 8.4% — the most severe trap headwind on the card. Fader from the outside in the dead trap is a near-impossible ask.
Class drop from A4 with decent avgP (56) but zero A5 suitability and the weakest trainer (4%). Should run honestly but the data doesn't support a winning case.
Highest avgP (63) in the dominant trap (T1, 23.8%) with consistent high-level form. The AI Pick candidate — structural + form convergence is stronger here than for the predicted winner. Only the EP 0 and modest suitability prevent total confidence.
Will lead from T5 with best early pace (EP 61) but CS 0 means he's virtually certain to weaken late. Pace-setter for the Closers rather than a winning chance.
Inside bias is strong at A5 480m — T1 and T2 together win over 45% of races. T6 is severely dead at 8.4%. R1 vs R3 gap is 6pp (18.7% vs 12.6%) — moderate separation, ratings have some predictive value.
T1:23.8% T2:21.3% T3:15.2% T4:14.8% T5:18.6% T6:8.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mercia Anglo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Eagles Ebz | 36 | 97 | Closer |
3Coalville Clover | 53 | 43 | All-Rounder |
4Mohican Hallie | 47 | 57 | Closer |
5Easy Magico | 61 | 0 | Fader |
6Mid Tipp Goose | 56 | 11 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.