| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blue Gemstoned 4y 18 | P J R Steward — 19% R177 W34 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 54 | 59 (2) | 60 (3) | 45 (5) | 64 (2) | 50 (3) | 60 (3) | 70 (1) | 49 (3) | 71 (1) | 46 (5) | 34 | 36 | 44 | 33 | 61 | 49 | 2 | 13/8JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Tinks Thisd 2y 18 | S A Saberton — 23% R394 W90 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 71 (1) | 51 (3) | 71 (1) | 52 (4) | 71 (1) | 65 (2) | 48 (4) | 68 (1) | 32 (6) | 47 (5) | 60 | 66 | - | 52 | 51 | 55 | 1 | 13/8JF | |
| 3 | ▶ Browns Barbieb 2y 16 | P J R Steward — 19% R177 W34 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 43 | 58 (2) | 44 (5) | 49 (5) | 73 (4) | 52 (1) | 38 (4) | 68 (6) | 40 (1) | - | - | 44 | 31 | 22 | 29 | 54 | 46 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 5 | ▶ Classic Turbod 4y 16 | J Pearson — 15% R205 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 54 | 17 (6) | 47 (2) | 55 (2) | 52 (3) | 47 (4) | 61 (1) | 59 (2) | 37 (5) | 66 (1) | 31 (1) | 35 | 35 | - | 23 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Munie Memoriesb 4y 27 | P Ward — 15% R218 W33 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 61 | 42 (5) | 54 (4) | 69 (1) | 41 (4) | 65 (1) | 48 (2) | 51 (2) | 38 (5) | 47 (2) | 44 (5) | 36 | 32 | 37 | 29 | 54 | 45 | 3 | 11/2 | |
Blue Gemstone emerges as the principal selection at Harlow 415m A6 despite suboptimal trap positioning, driven by dominant performance rating (59, clearly best in field by 4+ points over next-best Tinks This at ~55 implied) and demonstrated class excellence. His performance metric of 59 exceeds all rivals and translates to material class advantage in the rating models. His speed rating of 59 is elite for A6 and matches his performance rating, indicating balanced acceleration and pace consistency. His bend score of 48 is mid-range but adequate for turn navigation on Harlow's tight circuit. His form shows recent A6 success including a position 2 two runs back and a position 1 win three runs back (P71 peak), demonstrating confirmed capability at this grade and distance. His recent positions are: A6 pos 2, A5 pos 3, A6 pos 1, A6 pos 4, A5 pos 4 — showing sustained competence across both A5 and A6. His T1 draw at 17.5% sits below T6 dominant (22.1%) and T3 (19.4%), but his class ceiling overcomes trap disadvantage. His pace profile (Closer, PaceCon 87) means he will track early pace through the opening sections, then exploit his superior class through the bends when others fatigue. His suitability across track (35), distance (32), trap (32), and class (42) are modest individually but the perf 59 dominance overrides any condition-specific concern. His trainer P J R Steward's 16% strike rate is respectable. In a race where LOW SEPARATION and INVERTED rank (R2 > R1) suggest composite rank is nearly irrelevant, class ceiling is the primary variable. Blue Gemstone's P59 perf 71 peak demonstrates he possesses genuine winning capability at A6. His closer profile is ideally suited to tracking early pace and striking through the final turn when the circuit's geometry compresses gaps and rewards bend competence.
Trainer credentials real but trial-heavy form and low speed rating (38) create uncertainty.
Grade step-down shows trainer confidence but form deterioration from A7 peak is concerning.
Distance suitability (25) is prohibitive at 415m; fader profile and recent form suggest A7 preference.
T6 advantage (22.1%) real but slowest pace rating (44) limits win potential against Blue Gemstone.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blue Gemstone | 50 | 69 | Closer |
2Tinks This | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Browns Barbie | 45 | 66 | Closer |
5Classic Turbo | 61 | 27 | Fader |
6Munie Memories | 60 | 17 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.