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WATCH PGR ON SKY SPORTS RACING
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dixie Againd 2y 15 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 35 | 72 (3) | 42 (1) | 75 (2) | 83 (1) | 78 (1) | 56 (4) | 77 (1) | 60 (4) | 41 (1) | 31 (3) | 55 | 59 | 25 | 55 | 51 | 53 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Lynnia Da Devild 2y 24 | M T Field — 22% R237 W52 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 60 (3) | 71 (6) | 47 (1) | 47 (5) | 65 (5) | 57 (6) | 73 (4) | 67 (5) | - | - | 38 | 32 | 28 | 36 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Yvonnes Babb 2y 15 | R Lambe — 21% R126 W26 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 45 (5) | 59 (5) | 86 (1) | 82 (1) | 80 (1) | 66 (2) | 64 (2) | 63 (3) | 69 (2) | 47 (5) | 50 | 60 | 40 | 46 | 61 | 58 | 4 | 6/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Rockmount Juniord 4y 15 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 61 (3) | 58 (3) | 56 (3) | 59 (4) | 71 (4) | 17 (3) | 65 (4) | 66 (3) | 54 (2) | - | 43 | 30 | 35 | 26 | 54 | 47 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Headford Killiand 2y 17 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 64 | 61 (2) | 72 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (2) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 43 (5) | 57 (3) | 46 (5) | 52 (4) | 39 | 57 | 25 | 51 | 60 | 56 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Inclementweatherb 4y 110 | J R Hall — 21% R330 W69 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 79 (1) | 77 (1) | 63 (2) | 64 (3) | 63 (2) | 62 (2) | 73 (6) | 46 (4) | 76 (6) | - | 34 | 36 | 41 | 33 | 61 | 52 | 6 | 7/1 | |
The predicted winner and the standout on suitability — track 72, distance 60, trap 59, class 30 are the highest suit scores in the field by a considerable margin. This is a dog who has repeatedly proven she goes well at Dunstall Park over 480m from inside traps. Dropping from A3 where she won (perf 77) on Feb 26 and ran fourth (perf 56) last time, the class drop should see her competitive again. The concern is the pace profile — a confirmed Closer (EP 13, CS 100) who will be dead last early. T1 is below the expected rate at 14.7% from 109 runs, not structurally strong. But her individual trap suit of 59 is exceptional, suggesting she personally handles this draw far better than the average runner. Average performance of 48 is modest for A4 but the suitability override is powerful — this dog has shown time and again she can close from behind at this venue and distance. Trainer J R Hall at 18% is moderate.
DANGER: Best ratings (avgP 63, comp 62), best suitability (track 78), and strongest early pace (EP 64) in the field. The clear main danger who has a genuine case to upset the prediction.
Dominant trap (T4, 23.0%) plus strong trainer (22%) and decent avgP (55), but EP of zero means he's always giving ground early. The trap helps but the Closer profile limits confidence.
Solid contender in the near-dominant T3 (20.8%) with decent ratings (avgP 55) and an adaptable All-Rounder profile. The each-way angle if the Closers can't get there.
Best consistency (82) and strong trainer (22%) but drawn in the dead T2 (12.6%). Structural headwind limits confidence despite solid ratings.
Good raw ability (avgP 62) but Fader from the worst structural trap (T6 at 14.5%). Likely to set pace but weaken, setting up the Closers behind. Hard to make a winning case.
LOW SEPARATION — R1, R2, R3 all within 0.3pp (17.2% vs 17.5% vs 17.5%). Ratings are effectively random at A4 480m. T4 is dominant at 23.0%, T3 second at 20.8%, T2 is dead at 12.6%. Trap position drives outcomes more than composite scores.
T1:14.7% T2:12.6% T3:20.8% T4:23.0% T5:18.7% T6:14.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dixie Again | 20 | 100 | Closer |
2Lynnia Da Devil | 47 | 68 | Closer |
3Yvonnes Bab | 53 | 32 | All-Rounder |
4Rockmount Junior | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Headford Killian | 65 | 0 | Fader |
6Inclementweather | 56 | 6 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.