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WATCH PGR ON GREYHOUNDS.ATTHERACES.COM
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pharis Pearlb 2y 6 | R Williams — 15% R321 W47 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 100 | 26 (4) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 25 (5) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 22 (3) | 30 (5) | 33 (2) | - | 34 | 42 | 28 | 42 | 27 | 31 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Final Sapphireb 1y 25 | P Meek — 14% R83 W12 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 61 (3) | 72 (2) | 63 (3) | 59 (3) | 59 (3) | 53 (4) | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | 56 (5) | - | 33 | 60 | - | 57 | 36 | 41 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Barnagrane Janb 3y 15 | S W Deakin — 17% R519 W87 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 27 (3) | 25 (5) | 21 (6) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 29 (3) | 22 (5) | 25 (5) | 33 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 | 24 | 34 | 19 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hiya Jimald 2y 45 | D T Smith — 16% R403 W64 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 32 | 37 (6) | 74 (1) | 16 (5) | 30 (3) | 64 (2) | 54 (3) | 11 (5) | 17 (2) | 57 (3) | 62 (2) | 42 | 40 | 25 | 25 | 41 | 39 | 6 | 5/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Edial Magicd 2y 37 | S J Cull — 11% R101 W11 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 61 (2) | 57 (3) | 45 (5) | 36 (5) | 31 (1) | 29 (2) | 31 (3) | 29 (2) | 22 (3) | - | 45 | 33 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 31 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hilldun Gripb 2y 16 | K S Harrison — 17% R348 W58 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 40 (6) | 55 (4) | 52 (3) | 47 (4) | 39 (6) | 36 (6) | 27 (1) | 37 (3) | 54 (6) | - | 41 | 39 | 14 | 37 | 43 | 42 | 3 | 7/2 | |
The predicted winner from the near-dominant T2 (20.0% from 140 runs) with outstanding suitability — track 67 and distance 68 are the highest individual suit scores in the field by a significant margin. This is a dog who has proven she goes well at Dunstall Park over 270m. Average performance 36 is mid-pack but the suitability scores do the heavy lifting here. Her recent form shows a 32 last time at D4 (lower grade) with a 2nd place the time before that. Stepping up from D4 to D3 is a challenge, but the outstanding venue form suggests she can handle it. No pace profile data is available, which makes the running style assessment impossible. Speed 47 is mid-pack. Trainer P Meek at 22% is strong-tier — the best trainer signal in the race. The case for the pick rests on exceptional suitability plus near-dominant trap plus strong trainer — a three-factor convergence despite modest raw ratings.
DANGER: Bend rating 100 from T1 at 270m is a powerful combination — the first bend decides the race at this distance. Inconsistent form (avgP 27) is the concern but the bend ability could be decisive.
Best overall ratings (avgP 47, speed 53) and Fader profile suits 270m, but a recent 27 performance raises serious form concerns. Could bounce back but the dip can't be ignored.
Best structural draw (T5, 21.1%) with decent individual trap suit (50) but modest ratings (avgP 28) and weakest trainer (4%). A trap-based gamble.
Dead trap (T3, 12.1% from 140 runs) with modest ratings and poor suitability. The consistency is admirable but the structural headwind makes winning very difficult.
Closer with EP 0 and distance suit 0 at 270m — can be confidently opposed regardless of other metrics. Speed 56 and strong trainer (22%) are irrelevant when the pace profile makes winning physically impossible at this trip.
LOW SEPARATION — R2 actually beats R1 (22.2% vs 20.6%). Multiple traps cluster around 20%. T3 is the clear dead trap at 12.1%. Final Sapphire in T2 benefits from a near-dominant draw (20.0%) plus exceptional suitability (track 67, distance 68).
T1:17.7% T2:20.0% T3:12.1% T4:20.2% T5:21.1% T6:19.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.