Consistent enough — second last time out and holding a solid level around this grade after dropping from A3 — and his 28.92 best time matches the fastest in the field. But that best is from a while back, his latest clocking was nearly a second slower, and trap 2 is a disaster box at this grade, winning fewer than one in twelve. The draw is the dealbreaker.

Only three career runs, but the speed figures already mark him as the quickest in the field and he ran a sound third at this level last week. The middle draw is a fair one at this grade and there is clear upside in a lightly-raced dog improving with every start. The wildcard — if he breaks level and uses that pace, the race could set up for him.

Honest but one-paced at this level — seven course-and-distance runs without a win tells its own story, and third place last week was more of the same. The ratings have him in the mix, but he keeps finding one or two too good, and nothing about trap 4 changes that equation. Place money again looks his ceiling against these.

Won last week with an 86 rating — the best single performance in this field over the past month — and on raw ability he would be the one to beat. But everything else is against him: trap 5 wins about one in twelve at this grade, his speed figures are the weakest in the race, and his form swings wildly from brilliant to baffling. Supremely talented, horribly drawn.