Update Your RCETS App A2 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rallying Sydd 2y 44 | Neilus O'Connell — 0% R31 W0 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 57 (4) | 74 (2) | 73 (6) | 72 (3) | 75 (3) | 81 (3) | 68 (3) | 74 (5) | 87 (4) | - | 23 | 21 | - | 11 | 71 | 45 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pauls Pickb 2y 34 | John A. Hand — 0% R3 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 71 (3) | 71 (4) | 46 (6) | 89 (1) | 68 (3) | 60 (4) | 64 (5) | 78 (3) | 72 (3) | 62 (4) | 1 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 68 | 36 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rusty Bulletd 2y 38 | Barry Clancy — 21% R39 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 75 (2) | 42 (6) | 67 (3) | 65 (4) | 87 (1) | 54 (6) | 51 (5) | 57 (4) | 69 (3) | 35 (6) | 22 | 20 | 10 | 25 | 62 | 34 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Abbylea Jetd 2y 14 | Maureen Finnegan — 0% R7 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 85 (2) | 65 (5) | 69 (3) | 58 (5) | 67 (3) | 82 (1) | 57 (4) | 76 (2) | 59 (5) | 64 (1) | 15 | 23 | 10 | 22 | 70 | 50 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Highview Quitlyb 1y 14 | Gerry Merriman — 24% R38 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 71 (4) | 79 (1) | 58 (3) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | 23 | 66 | 51 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Playdate Stormd 2y 28 | Scott Phelan — 27% R15 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 61 (6) | 52 (6) | 79 (3) | 67 (6) | 73 (3) | 91 (1) | 48 (6) | 86 (1) | 63 (5) | - | - | 34 | 34 | 14 | 67 | 29 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Abbylea Jet | 28.88 | 29.26 | 28.88 | 54 | 0.00 | Fastest time | |
| 6 | Playdate Storm | 28.88 | 29.32 | 29.19 | 48 | +0.31 | Off since 9 May | |
| 3 | Rusty Bullet | 28.93 | 29.58 | 28.93 | 46 | 0.00 | PB last time | |
| 1 | Rallying Syd | 28.98 | 29.08 | 28.98 | 55 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Pauls Pick | 28.99 | 29.16 | 29.07 | 51 | +0.08 | 0 wins from 6 C&D | |
| 5 | Aussie Promise | 29.10 | 29.42 | 29.43 | 39 | +0.33 | Form dipping |
The 525 metres at Shelbourne is a galloping trip but the red jacket is the place to be — trap 1 wins nearly one in four at A2 grade (23.7% from 135 runs) while traps 4 and 6 win barely one in nine. Just as important: this is a grade where the clock rules. The fastest dog in the field wins around 25% of these, comfortably ahead of the top-rated dog's strike rate, so speed figures trump ratings here. That frames the race as Rallying Syd from the prized inside box against Abbylea Jet, who has the fastest recent times but the worst draw. Playdate Storm is the only multiple course-and-distance winner in the field but hasn't raced since early May, and that absence is hard to forgive at this level.
Drops in grade from A0 and A1 company where he has been rating in the mid-70s, and everything lines up for him here: the sharpest speed rating in the field, a 28.98 best that he matched last time out, and the draw in trap 1 — the box that wins nearly one in four at this grade. Seven runs at the course and distance without a win is the obvious knock, but he has been running against better dogs than these. Class dropper, best box, quickest on the clock — the formula is right.
Running as well as anything in the race — a career-best 85 rating when second last time, and his 28.88 best time is the fastest in the field, clocked in that same run. The problem is purely the draw: trap 4 wins barely one in nine at this grade, the worst record bar one of any box. If he traps well enough to avoid the early scrimmaging he is the biggest danger, but the numbers say that box costs dogs races here.
Settled at this grade and running to a fair level — third last time out and he produced a barnstorming 89-rated effort four runs back, the second-highest peak in the race. Six course-and-distance runs without making the first two is the worry, and his times are a shade behind the principals. Honest, but place money looks his most realistic target against these.
Ran his fastest time of 28.93 when second at this grade last time out, and he has been mixing it in A1 company before that. One win and two placings from seven course-and-distance runs shows he handles the place. The form is honest and the clock says he is close to the best of these — a live threat from the middle if the inside pair miss a beat at the break.
Dropping from A0 and A1 company but the form has been heading the wrong way — beaten out of sight last time and his recent ratings are well below what he was producing in the spring. Trap 5 is actually a decent box here at better than one in five, and one win from seven at the trip shows he can handle the track, but he needs to find his old spark in a hurry.
The only dog in the race with two course-and-distance wins, and his 28.88 best matches the fastest in the field — but he has not raced since the ninth of May, and a ten-week absence at this level is a serious hurdle. Trap 6 wins barely one in nine at this grade too. Respect the ability, fear the rust — and the combination of layoff plus the worst box is usually a losing double.
Key insight: A2 here is a speed-first grade: the fastest dog in the field wins 24.8% while the top-rated wins only 16.4%. Trap 1 (23.7%) and trap 5 (22.2%) are the boxes to be in; traps 4 and 6 win barely one in nine.
T1:23.7% T2:15.7% T3:16.1% T4:11.8% T5:22.2% T6:11.1%
812 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rallying Syd | — | 0.549 | 0.554 | — | — |
| 2 | Pauls Pick | — | 0.555 | — | 0.567 | 0.575 |
| 3 | Rusty Bullet | — | 0.562 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Abbylea Jet | 0.548 | 0.557 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Highview Quitly | — | 0.554 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Playdate Storm | — | 0.557 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.