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Welcome To Shelbourne Park A3/A4 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Daithis Millieb 2y 27 | Pat Daly — 18% R17 W3 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 80 (1) | 50 (4) | 46 (6) | 61 (4) | 70 (2) | 72 (2) | 71 (2) | 40 (6) | 79 (1) | 49 (6) | 23 | 10 | - | 22 | 58 | 39 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ A Lucky Wonderb 2y 5 | - | - | 55 | - | 56 (5) | 66 (2) | 58 (5) | 68 (2) | 68 (2) | 43 (6) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | 1 | 21 | - | 28 | 59 | 48 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Razldazl Blueskyd 1y | - | - | - | - | 42 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 42 | 37 | 5 | 4/7 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Old Texasd 2y 32 | - | - | 66 | - | 76 (1) | 37 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 58 | 22 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Still Planningd 1y 13 | Barry Clancy — 20% R40 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 59 (5) | 84 (1) | 55 (4) | 80 (1) | 54 (4) | 77 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 36 | 68 | 45 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Aghaderry Odhrand 4y 43 | - | - | - | - | 20 (6) | 39 (5) | 48 (4) | 51 (6) | 44 (6) | 49 (4) | 63 (2) | 48 (4) | 58 (3) | 59 (3) | 7 | - | - | 12 | 43 | 21 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Old Texas | 28.96 | 28.96 | 28.96 | 66 | 0.00 | 2 career runs | |
| 1 | Daithis Millie | 29.05 | 29.46 | 29.70 | 44 | +0.65 | Best box | |
| 2 | A Lucky Wonder | 29.11 | 29.28 | 29.12 | 55 | +0.01 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Still Planning | 29.30 | 29.62 | 29.64 | 38 | +0.34 | First time here | |
| 3 | Razldazl Bluesky | No form at this distance — times not comparable. | — | First 525m try | ||||
| 6 | Highview Corner | No form at this distance — times not comparable. | — | First 525m try | ||||
Shelbourne Park's 525-metre trip is a galloping test, but the numbers say the draw matters plenty here — trap 1 is the best box at A3 grade, winning one in four (25.3% from 83 runs), while trap 4 is the graveyard at just 11%. This grade is also where the market leaders earn their keep: the top-rated dog wins a remarkable 32% of these races, the best model record on tonight's card. A Lucky Wonder and Daithis Millie should be prominent from the inside boxes, while Old Texas — a sprinter stepping up in trip — could show plenty of early dash from trap 4 before the stamina question is asked. Two newcomers to the distance in traps 3 and 6 muddy the waters, but the proven 525-metre dogs on the inside look the ones to concentrate on.
Rates the one to beat. His clock is the most reliable in the race — 29.12 last time out, within a whisker of his 29.11 best — and he has been placed in three of five runs over this course and distance without yet winning. Stepping up from A4 grade, but his consistency stands out in a field where most of the opposition are either out of form or unproven at the trip, and this is a grade where the top-rated runner has a terrific record. Hasn't won here yet, which is the nag, but everything else points his way.
Drawn in the best box at this grade and trip — trap 1 wins one in four here — and she is the most experienced 525-metre performer in the race with ten runs at the course and distance, winning once and placing four times. Her recent form reads modestly, finishing 4th last time out at A4 grade, but she was rating in the low 70s three and four runs back and doesn't need to find much to be involved. The draw gives her every chance.
Just one run on the book — sixth in a 350-metre open event here last week — and now tries 525 metres for the first time. There is no evidence yet that she stays this far, and against proven dogs at the trip she has everything to prove. The breeding may say stayer but the formbook says blank page. Watch, don't bet.
The fastest single clocking in the field at 28.96, but it came from his only run at the trip and he has had just two races in his life — the latest a win over 325 metres back in June. Sprinters stepping up to 525 metres always face a stamina question, and he is drawn in trap 4, statistically the worst box at this grade. Raw speed to be a factor early; whether he is still there at the line is the gamble.
The class act on his day — he has hit ratings in the mid-80s twice in his last five runs, comfortably the highest peaks in this field. The trouble is the other runs: he is wildly in-and-out and his recent times are the slowest of the main contenders. First look at this track too. If he brings his best he wins, but you could go broke waiting for it.
Same profile as the trap 3 runner — a single career run over 350 metres here last week and now a first crack at 525 metres. The step up in distance is a complete unknown and trap 6 is a poor box at this grade, winning fewer than one in seven. Would need everything to fall right, and even then the proven stayers inside him hold stronger claims.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout box at this grade (25.3% from 83 runs) and the top-rated dog is unusually reliable here, winning 32.3% of 93 races — the strongest model record on the card.
T1:25.3% T2:19.5% T3:16.1% T4:11.4% T5:17.3% T6:13.6%
487 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 350m | 525m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daithis Millie | — | — | 0.560 | — |
| 2 | A Lucky Wonder | — | — | 0.561 | — |
| 3 | Razldazl Bluesky | — | 0.548 | — | — |
| 4 | Old Texas | 0.552 | — | 0.573 | — |
| 5 | Still Planning | — | — | 0.564 | — |
| 6 | Aghaderry Odhran | — | — | 0.571 | 0.581 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.