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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Days Lashingb 2y 27 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W84 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 26 | 56 (3) | 68 (5) | 79 (3) | 66 (2) | 62 (1) | 49 (4) | 27 (6) | 70 (1) | 53 (2) | 53 (2) | 27 | 32 | - | 13 | 61 | 31 | 5 | 11/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Hanorab 1y 36 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 100 | 52 (5) | 70 (1) | 47 (5) | 50 (4) | 52 (3) | 53 (3) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 47 (5) | 51 (4) | - | 21 | - | - | 55 | 24 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Stormy Lisamarieb 3y 48 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 0 | 64 (2) | 69 (2) | 76 (4) | 51 (5) | 61 (3) | 76 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 (3) | 72 (4) | - | 5 | 23 | - | - | 65 | 20 | 4 | 11/4JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Burrow Starletb 4y 32 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 2 | 56 (2) | 79 (3) | 92 (1) | 64 (1) | 45 (5) | 52 (2) | 42 (5) | 58 (3) | 46 (5) | 71 (1) | 28 | 27 | - | 30 | 63 | 34 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kingd 2y 27 | S Ray — 15% R411 W62 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 77 | 74 | 76 (1) | 82 (2) | 56 (4) | 42 (6) | 66 (2) | 56 (2) | 56 (3) | 71 (2) | 71 (1) | 46 (4) | 3 | 32 | - | 61 | 64 | 37 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Coolavanny Drewd 2y 35 | B J Mcphillips — 20% R65 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 93 | 100 | 50 (6) | 68 (2) | 67 (2) | 67 (2) | 67 (2) | 71 (5) | 82 (2) | - | - | - | 8 | 43 | - | - | 65 | 30 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
The selection. Won the Newcastle 640 metre handicap last time out on June 5 with a performance of 76, following a 82-rated run at S3 640m the previous week — two consecutive strong staying performances at the relevant distance. He is a Fader with decent early pace and an excellent first-bend rating of 74, meaning he will be prominent early and will take some catching. His course and distance record at exactly the 640 metre Newcastle handicap format is the critical positive. Trap 5 shows 22.0% in these conditions — decent, well ahead of traps 2, 3, and 4. The speed rank 2 in the field (77) backs up the form evidence. Comparing him to Days Lashing in trap 1: Days Lashing has the better draw but no early pace and a Closer style that fails to take advantage of the inside rail. Swift King from trap 5 with established 640m course form, good early pace, and a recent win at this exact race type is the logical pick.
Danger: the most statistically favoured trap draw at this distance, but Closer style means she won't benefit from the rail in the usual way. Staying form is genuine.
Worst trap draw combined with no staying distance experience. Almost impossible task here.
Good form at 480m but no proven staying form and a below-average trap. The distance step is too big an unknown.
Has genuine staying form including a 92-rated win at this distance, but poor trap and no early pace create a difficult starting position. Place chance.
Speed and trap are both excellent but has never run 640 metres before. Distance debut at this extreme staying trip is too big an unknown to recommend as pick despite the pace figures.
T1 hugely dominant at 32.1% over 640m HP (28 runs). T2 is disastrous at 5.3%. Speed R1 wins 29.2% — the strongest signal. Composite R1 wins 25% — respectable. Coolavanny Drew has distance suitability zero despite excellent speed numbers. Swift King won this exact race type last time.
T1:32.1% T2:5.3% T3:11.6% T4:14.7% T5:22.0% T6:27.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 640m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Days Lashing | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Droopys Hanora | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Stormy Lisamarie | 57 | 56 | All-Rounder |
4Burrow Starlet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Swift King | 43 | 44 | Fader |
6Coolavanny Drew | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 640m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (640m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Days Lashing | 0.621 | 0.639 |
| 2 | Droopys Hanora | 0.616 | 0.633 |
| 3 | Stormy Lisamarie | 0.614 | 0.632 |
| 4 | Burrow Starlet | 0.616 | 0.634 |
| 5 | Swift King | 0.617 | 0.623 |
| 6 | Coolavanny Drew | 0.611 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.