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Newcastle vs Sunderland Intertrack
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vinny Chaseb 1yREP 15 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W84 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 8 | 92 | 24 (5) | 13 (6) | 50 (3) | 34 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 29 | 11 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lazy Loob 1yREP 26 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 9 | 57 (1) | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 41 (4) | 44 (4) | 39 (6) | 45 (2) | 36 (5) | 58 (1) | 42 (4) | 1 | - | - | - | 46 | 28 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Prettybrowneyesb 1yREP 7 | B J Mcphillips — 20% R65 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 100 | 72 (1) | 72 (1) | 61 (2) | 55 (3) | 50 (3) | 62 (1) | 37 (6) | - | - | - | 4 | 43 | - | 49 | 62 | 56 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kilbannon Oisind 4yREP 46 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 0 | 54 (2) | 63 (2) | 62 (2) | 53 (5) | 54 (2) | 59 (3) | 60 (3) | 50 (5) | 64 (2) | 22 (1) | 2 | 26 | - | 9 | 56 | 38 | 3 | 20/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mustang Poppyb 1yREP 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 0 | 57 (2) | 44 (5) | 47 (4) | 38 (5) | 45 (4) | 64 (1) | 53 (2) | 56 (2) | 44 (3) | - | 28 | - | - | - | 49 | 42 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Solway Ginnyb 2yREP 9 | D Little — 22% R108 W24 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 85 | 100 | 76 (1) | 59 (2) | 73 (1) | 56 (2) | 44 (5) | 46 (5) | 43 (5) | 68 (3) | 42 (6) | 47 (5) | 32 | 35 | - | 41 | 59 | 66 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
The selection, and the case is compelling. Won the last two Newcastle 480 metre handicap races she has entered — June 6 and May 30 — in back-to-back fashion, with identical performance ratings of 72 in both wins. Before those wins she ran second in the same race type, so the full HP 480m Newcastle record reads win, win, placed — three from three at this exact race type. She is a Fader with elite early pace (rated 100 out of the traps) meaning she gets to the front immediately and sets the tempo. That combination — class in the race, proven over this exact trip, with the pace to lead — is the formula that wins handicap races. Trap 3 shows 17.3% in handicap races here, which is below the average, but her course and distance dominance is far more predictive than the trap data in this context. She is racing on her own terms at this track.
Danger: fastest in the field with excellent early pace, but Prettybrowneyes has won this exact race type twice running and that course form is decisive.
Best draw and sharpest early pace but performance ratings are too low. Will lead briefly then be passed.
Decent draw but no Newcastle 480m HP course form. Closer style means she arrives late. Unlikely to trouble the leaders.
Decent form level but trapped in the second-worst handicap draw with a Closer style. Hard to back.
Worst trap draw combined with no course form and Closer style. Significant structural disadvantages stack up.
Handicap race trap bias heavily favours T1/T2. Composite R1 wins only 18.8% — weak model. Course and distance form at exactly Newcastle HP 480m is the strongest signal: Prettybrowneyes has won this race type twice running.
T1:22.6% T2:20.1% T3:17.3% T4:12.3% T5:11.2% T6:20.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vinny Chase | 76 | 0 | Fader |
2Lazy Loo | 24 | 100 | Closer |
3Prettybrowneyes | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Kilbannon Oisin | 23 | 100 | Closer |
5Mustang Poppy | 17 | 100 | Closer |
6Solway Ginny | 92 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinny Chase | — | 0.647 |
| 2 | Lazy Loo | 0.637 | — |
| 3 | Prettybrowneyes | — | 0.624 |
| 4 | Kilbannon Oisin | 0.628 | — |
| 5 | Mustang Poppy | 0.632 | — |
| 6 | Solway Ginny | — | 0.616 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.