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Towcester Saturday 13th June 2026 Afternoon PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zebedee Paphosd 1yREP 15 | C L Conley — 25% R53 W13 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 40 (4) | 37 (5) | 37 (5) | 33 (6) | 51 (4) | 31 (5) | 55 (1) | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | 40 | 33 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Boswellionb 2yREP 15 | J J Gornall — 14% R73 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 64 | 46 (3) | 50 (2) | 51 (3) | 43 (3) | 61 (2) | 74 (5) | 60 (3) | 57 (2) | 47 (5) | 61 (2) | 39 | 16 | 33 | 14 | 53 | 43 | 2 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Shake Ya Buttb 4yN/RREP 23 | N J Deas — 17% R454 W76 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 27 | - | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 23 (3) | 20 (5) | 18 (5) | 20 (3) | 27 (2) | 20 (4) | 19 (5) | 18 (5) | 22 | 20 | - | - | 20 | 21 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Unlikely Tomd 1yREP 34 | S Gaughan — 14% R37 W5 P24 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 48 | 40 (4) | 58 (1) | 38 (3) | 46 (3) | 22 (6) | 31 (1) | 57 (4) | 20 (6) | - | - | 23 | 26 | - | - | 41 | 27 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fabulous Leiab 1yREP 16 | L G Tuffin — 26% R285 W75 P155 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 65 | 28 (2) | 29 (2) | 42 (4) | 49 (2) | 39 (5) | 32 (1) | 16 (6) | 29 (1) | - | - | 52 | 41 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Unknown Bikerd 4yREP 26 | D D Porter — 17% R537 W92 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 32 | 44 (3) | 31 (5) | 59 (1) | 61 (5) | 51 (3) | 91 (1) | 44 (2) | 50 (3) | 71 (2) | 37 (5) | 30 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 52 | 43 | 3 | 9/1 | - | |
The standout of the field on every meaningful metric. Sovereign Poppy is the top-rated dog by composite (51), a front-running Fader with maximum early pace, and carries the strongest course and distance record in the race — three wins from ten starts here, a 30% strike rate that puts her well clear of the rest. Her form spans 43-67, with peaks at P67 twice in recent outings. She has been running consistently at A6 grade over 500m at this track, which means her performance numbers are reliable and directly relevant to today's conditions. Trap 2 produces winners at 20.2% in these conditions. The combination of top composite rating, Fader pace profile that suits this front-runner circuit, and the best proven record at this course and distance makes her the clear selection.
DANGER: Speed leader in the field with front-running pace and recent A5 form. Trap 5 is a structural disadvantage but the speed edge is too significant to dismiss.
Closer pace profile at a front-runner track. Needs others to stop in front of her. Best opposing scenario only.
High average performance but Closer profile at a front-runner track with no course and distance wins. Best chance if the pace collapses in the final bend.
Recent course and distance winner but form surrounding the win was poor. Could repeat but volatile profile makes confidence difficult.
Improving form from lower grade but Closer profile and outside trap make Towcester difficult. Late-race threat only.
A6 is the weakest composite grade at Towcester 500m (22.2% from 451 runs). Speed rank 1 is the strongest signal at 27.8% from 421 runs. Trap 3 performs well overall but collapses to 16.5% at A6 specifically, while traps 1 and 4 lead at 21.7% and 21.3% respectively.
T1:21.7% T2:20.2% T3:16.5% T4:21.3% T5:17.1% T6:18.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zebedee Paphos | 50 | 100 | Closer |
2Boswellion | 0 | 0 | Fader |
3Shake Ya Butt | — | — | No data |
4Unlikely Tom | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Fabulous Leia | 70 | 50 | Front Runner |
6Unknown Biker | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 415m | 450m | 460m | 500m | 548m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zebedee Paphos | — | — | 0.625 | — | 0.613 | — | — |
| 2 | Boswellion | — | 0.655 | — | 0.600 | 0.609 | 0.641 | — |
| 4 | Unlikely Tom | 0.617 | — | — | 0.601 | 0.475 | — | — |
| 5 | Fabulous Leia | 0.613 | — | — | — | 0.610 | — | — |
| 6 | Unknown Biker | — | — | — | — | 0.610 | — | 0.627 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.