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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Indob 2yREP 26 | A M Kibble — 24% R185 W45 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 57 | 60 (1) | 44 (4) | 34 (5) | 82 (2) | 77 (1) | 61 (2) | 58 (2) | 56 (4) | 49 (4) | 52 (5) | 54 | 23 | - | 27 | 57 | 38 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dreamin Lennond 2yREP 14 | C L Conley — 25% R53 W13 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 45 | 60 (1) | 50 (2) | 49 (4) | 50 (3) | 55 (5) | 87 (2) | 66 (4) | 98 (1) | 77 (2) | 64 (4) | 17 | 28 | - | 32 | 61 | 41 | 5 | 7/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Toomevara Sheerad 3yREP 18 | P B Philpott — 18% R151 W27 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 42 (4) | 42 (4) | 56 (2) | 75 (2) | 38 (4) | 77 (3) | 62 (1) | 36 (5) | 61 (1) | 32 (4) | 46 | 36 | - | 22 | 52 | 44 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Pallasb 3yREP 8 | A M Kibble — 24% R185 W45 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 62 | 45 (4) | 43 (3) | 61 (1) | 34 (5) | 39 (5) | 69 (2) | 85 (1) | 57 (4) | 60 (4) | 84 (1) | 38 | 17 | - | 17 | 53 | 42 | 2 | 7/4JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rapido Ariab 3yREP 3 | J J Gornall — 14% R73 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 53 | 34 (6) | 38 (5) | 59 (1) | 30 (6) | 61 (1) | 39 (5) | 60 (1) | 44 (5) | 75 (3) | 66 (2) | 37 | 36 | - | 31 | 46 | 43 | 6 | 18/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Disembarkd 2yREP 27 | J A Knape — 21% R38 W8 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 63 (5) | 46 (6) | 33 (6) | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 37 (1) | 20 (6) | 30 (5) | 32 (4) | 37 (1) | 24 | 27 | - | 43 | 46 | 38 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
The fastest dog in the field on the speed rating (52) and the top composite score — the only runner where both the speed and composite rankings agree at the top. A Fader with maximum early pace, she'll compete off the first bend and is the highest-rated dog in this race on both key metrics. Her recent form shows P42 in her last two outings which represents a dip from her peaks of P77 and P75, but those highs demonstrate the quality is there — the last two runs may reflect a transitional patch rather than permanent decline. Two wins from eight course and distance starts gives her a sound platform at this venue and trip. Trap 3 at 18.2% is moderate but the speed and composite alignment compensates. In the condition data, bend rank 1 wins 35.7% and she carries the second-equal bend rating in the field.
DANGER: Best trap position, recent B2 winner dropping grade, Fader pace profile. A very real threat to the selection.
Recent B2 winner stepping down in grade, solid trap, but Closer profile at Towcester limits the upside. Place proposition rather than likely winner.
Best bend rating but Closer profile and moderate trap mean the bend advantage cannot be fully exploited. Place prospect at best.
Best course and distance record in the field but currently out of form. Could bounce back given the track record but two poor recent runs make confidence difficult.
Structural dead draw (trap 6 = 0% winners from 8 runs). Recent higher-grade form is encouraging but the trap evidence is too strong to ignore.
Very small sample (68 runs). Trap 6 at 0.0% from 8 runs — structural dead draw. Trap 2 leads at 30.8% from 13 runs (small but clear). Composite rank 1 performs terribly (7.7%) while ranks 2 and 3 outperform — the model inverts at B1 grade here. Bend rank 1 wins 35.7% from 14 runs — the strongest single metric.
T1:25.0% T2:30.8% T3:18.2% T4:16.7% T5:16.7% T6:0.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Indo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Dreamin Lennon | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Toomevara Sheera | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Ballymac Pallas | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Rapido Aria | 70 | 0 | Fader |
6Disembark | 30 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 270m | 415m | 435m | 450m | 460m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Indo | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | 0.595 | — |
| 2 | Dreamin Lennon | — | — | — | — | 0.608 | 0.592 | — |
| 3 | Toomevara Sheera | — | 0.610 | — | 0.599 | — | 0.593 | — |
| 4 | Ballymac Pallas | — | — | — | — | 0.607 | 0.594 | — |
| 5 | Rapido Aria | 0.637 | — | 0.656 | — | — | 0.596 | — |
| 6 | Disembark | — | 0.603 | — | — | — | 0.591 | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.