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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Trumpers Derekd 2y 6 | N J Deas — 17% R454 W76 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 76 (1) | 56 (4) | 62 (2) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 77 (1) | 72 (1) | 65 (2) | 44 | 37 | - | 54 | 66 | 54 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Railwayclub Bobd 2y 25 | K J Crocker — 16% R144 W23 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 63 | 71 (2) | 77 (1) | 57 (3) | 81 (1) | 60 (4) | 68 (2) | 87 (1) | 61 (4) | 56 (6) | 83 (1) | 25 | 37 | 32 | 39 | 70 | 48 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballykilduff Gemb 2y 35 | C Condon — 9% R35 W3 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 82 (3) | 66 (5) | 67 (5) | 87 (3) | 66 (3) | 81 (1) | 57 (4) | 65 (4) | 32 (4) | 69 (3) | 28 | 34 | 40 | 31 | 70 | 47 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Andred 3y 36 | A M Kibble — 24% R184 W45 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 60 | 48 (6) | 51 (2) | 56 (2) | 49 (2) | 38 (6) | 86 (1) | 51 (5) | 65 (2) | 64 (3) | 60 (5) | 4 | 31 | - | - | 54 | 35 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Wellstreet Cathb 3y 55 | K J Crocker — 16% R144 W23 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 39 | 49 (5) | 78 (1) | 85 (2) | 67 (2) | 55 (3) | 98 (1) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 63 (2) | 52 (5) | 29 | 35 | 14 | 30 | 68 | 29 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hitthelids Paulod 3y 7 | N J Deas — 17% R454 W76 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | 58 (4) | 80 (1) | 77 (1) | 43 (5) | 72 (1) | 40 (6) | 42 (5) | 65 (2) | 50 (4) | 62 (3) | 28 | 27 | - | 38 | 61 | 50 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
Three signals stacking on the same runner — and at Towcester 500m, that combination is the foundation of the strongest picks on the card. Trumpers Derek is the top-rated dog by composite (54), drawn in the best trap (trap 1 at 25.7% from 183 runs), and carries a course and distance record of four wins from ten starts — a 40% strike rate that is exceptional and the standout course and distance credential on today's full card. He won at A4 grade last time out (P76), which is a strong recent performance one grade above today's, and his form trajectory of P76→P56→P62→P66→P58→P53 shows a consistent, honest profile with genuine quality at the top. An All-Rounder with balanced early pace, he'll sit handy off the first bend and have options throughout. With the best trap, the model behind him, and a proven record at this exact venue and distance, the case is compelling.
DANGER: Best average performance and best bend rating in the field. Recent form trajectory is outstanding (P71, P77, P81 in last six). Fewer course and distance runs than the pick but the raw form quality is the highest in this race.
Strong staying form but returning to 500m after 712m races introduces distance uncertainty. Speed co-leader with solid form peaks but the distance switch is a flag.
Distance suitability flag and recent last-place finish at this grade. Fader pace profile is the positive but overall picture doesn't inspire confidence.
Joint speed leader but longest absence of any runner in the race plus worst trap position. Fitness is the key unknown after two months off. Speculative at best.
Strong course and distance record (3W/10) and genuine A3 ability, but trap 6 at 17.2% is a structural handicap compared to the pick's trap 1. Worth watching for place money.
Trap 1 leads at 25.7% from 183 runs — a strong structural edge at A3 grade. Trap 5 is the weakest box at 13.7%. Composite rank 1 wins 21.9% from 453 runs — solid at this grade. Speed+composite combo at Towcester 500m historically converts at 35.8% when both agree on the same dog — the key signal to hunt for.
T1:25.7% T2:20.5% T3:19.1% T4:18.0% T5:13.7% T6:17.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Trumpers Derek | 51 | 23 | All-Rounder |
2Railwayclub Bob | 49 | 77 | Closer |
3Ballykilduff Gem | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballymac Andre | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Wellstreet Cath | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Hitthelids Paulo | 53 | 9 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 450m | 460m | 476m | 500m | 712m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trumpers Derek | — | — | — | — | 0.596 | — | — |
| 2 | Railwayclub Bob | — | 0.614 | — | 0.607 | 0.596 | — | — |
| 3 | Ballykilduff Gem | 0.610 | — | — | — | 0.593 | 0.616 | 0.652 |
| 4 | Ballymac Andre | — | 0.608 | 0.593 | — | 0.596 | — | — |
| 5 | Wellstreet Cath | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | 0.624 | — |
| 6 | Hitthelids Paulo | — | — | — | — | 0.598 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.