Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Scooby Gdyniad 3y 5 | K J Crocker — 16% R144 W23 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 37 (4) | 43 (3) | 46 (2) | 39 (5) | 27 (5) | 55 (1) | 45 (2) | 42 (2) | 25 (5) | 24 (6) | 24 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 40 | 43 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pulleen Blackieb 3y 17 | K J Crocker — 16% R144 W23 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 41 (2) | 62 (2) | 72 (1) | 38 (5) | 50 (3) | 59 (2) | 55 (4) | 70 (1) | 67 (1) | 53 (2) | 65 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 55 | 47 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballyclearyflashd 3y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R537 W92 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 57 | 37 (3) | 25 (5) | 39 (5) | 49 (2) | 35 (5) | 37 (5) | 43 (4) | 33 (5) | 40 (5) | 55 (3) | 28 | 24 | 41 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Echob 3y 26 | P B Philpott — 18% R151 W27 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 28 (6) | 37 (3) | 42 (2) | 17 (5) | 16 (6) | 32 (4) | 62 (1) | 28 (5) | 34 (5) | 32 (5) | 20 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 32 | 34 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Unknown Captaind 4y 27 | D D Porter — 17% R537 W92 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 59 | 35 (5) | 60 (6) | 45 (4) | 72 (4) | 72 (3) | 37 (6) | 71 (3) | 93 (1) | 60 (1) | 56 (6) | 13 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 46 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Confey Storyb 3y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R537 W92 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 51 (1) | 35 (5) | 39 (3) | 55 (1) | 39 (2) | 58 (6) | 67 (5) | 35 (5) | 45 (5) | 40 (2) | 18 | 25 | 32 | 40 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
Drawn in the dominant trap. At A8 500m Towcester, trap 6 wins 30.4% of races from 56 runs — an extraordinary structural advantage that completely overrides the general Towcester profile where trap 6 is typically the worst box. Confey Story won at this exact grade and distance last time out (P51 at A8 500m), and has two wins from seven course and distance starts — a 29% strike rate that adds meaningful support. Form peaks at P58 and P55 from recent A8 racing show she can perform at this level. Yes, she's a Closer at a track that normally favours front-runners, but the grade-specific condition data is unambiguous: at A8 500m, trap 6 dogs win almost one in three races. That structural edge, combined with a recent course and distance win, makes her the selection.
DANGER: Speed leader with form peaks of P72 at this grade. Trap 5 is a drag and distance suitability is low but the raw speed leadership is too significant to ignore as a danger.
Worst trap in these conditions at A8 grade. Structural disadvantage is too severe to recommend regardless of form.
Top composite in a grade where the composite model largely fails. Trap 2 is a structural drag. Form peaks are encouraging but the structural factors argue against.
Decent trap position and Fader pace profile but no course and distance wins from 10 attempts. Pace contributor rather than likely winner.
Declining recent form and below-average trap position. Last two runs (P28, P37) are too poor to recommend with confidence.
Trap 6 dominates at A8 500m with 30.4% from 56 runs — exceptional and a complete reversal of the general Towcester 500m profile. Trap 1 is the worst box at 10.7%. Speed rank 1 wins 31.9% from 69 runs. Composite rank 1 is weak (17.6%) and rank 3 actually outperforms (27.3%) — the model largely inverts at A8 grade here. Grade-specific trap bias is the dominant factor.
T1:10.7% T2:13.8% T3:19.7% T4:16.9% T5:12.5% T6:30.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Scooby Gdynia | 66 | 0 | Fader |
2Pulleen Blackie | 42 | 100 | Closer |
3Ballyclearyflash | 76 | 0 | Fader |
4Good Echo | 58 | 0 | Fader |
5Unknown Captain | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Confey Story | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 476m | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scooby Gdynia | — | — | 0.616 | — |
| 2 | Pulleen Blackie | — | 0.617 | 0.613 | — |
| 3 | Ballyclearyflash | — | — | 0.617 | — |
| 4 | Good Echo | 0.631 | — | 0.616 | — |
| 5 | Unknown Captain | — | — | 0.609 | 0.629 |
| 6 | Confey Story | — | — | 0.614 | 0.637 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.