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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolemore Gangb 2y 15 | J Walton — 13% R72 W9 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 41 | 55 (1) | 49 (5) | 20 (6) | 33 (2) | 37 (5) | 42 (4) | 37 (5) | 29 (4) | 45 (4) | 57 (1) | 23 | 25 | 49 | 25 | 41 | 43 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ratchies Rasmusd 4y 24 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 43 | 58 (3) | 37 (5) | 35 (5) | 47 (3) | 57 (2) | 57 (1) | 51 (4) | 42 (4) | 52 (3) | 48 (4) | 26 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ A Bit Of Theod 4y 17 | S Ray — 15% R411 W62 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 52 | 45 (2) | 38 (6) | 55 (1) | 50 (3) | 50 (5) | 30 (5) | 35 (5) | 36 (5) | 44 (4) | 31 (5) | 32 | 17 | 25 | 23 | 43 | 41 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Nuked 1y 25 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 50 | 41 (3) | 43 (5) | 59 (3) | 34 (6) | 46 (2) | 52 (1) | 34 (5) | - | - | - | 17 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 44 | 31 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kathys Giftd 4y 25 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W84 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 51 | 51 (1) | 33 (5) | 28 (6) | 39 (4) | 22 (5) | 24 (3) | 39 (4) | 35 (4) | 19 (5) | 56 (1) | 39 | 16 | 15 | 26 | 35 | 41 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ El Stueyd 3y 16 | J Walton — 13% R72 W9 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 52 | 26 (5) | 26 (5) | 19 (6) | 19 (6) | 14 (5) | 51 (1) | 33 (5) | 29 (4) | 26 (5) | 51 (1) | 25 | 23 | - | 17 | 27 | 26 | 6 | 33/1 | - | |
The selection on the basis of having the highest speed rating and the top composite score in the field, though the case comes with important caveats. Last run was a P58 at Newcastle 480m handicap three weeks ago — solid form at this level. Earlier in the year he was posting consistent 57s at A7 grade. A Closer who will be mid-pack early then run on through the home straight. The major concern is trap 2, which is the worst-performing draw in Newcastle A8 races at only 14.3% from 238 runs — that is an 11-point gap below trap 5 and a genuine structural disadvantage. Newcastle's long home straight does give late runners more time to close, which slightly softens the trap impact compared to a tighter circuit, but it does not eliminate it. The speed and composite leadership are the justification for the pick at this fair track; the confidence is deliberately low because of the trap.
Danger: most recent and relevant win at this exact grade and distance. Modest but genuine form.
Legitimate each-way interest — second-best trap draw, A8 win to his name, decent recent form. Not the pick but a threat.
Honest A8 regular but outrated by the leading runners on performance and speed. Place chance only in an open race.
Best trap draw in the race but form level is A9 at best. The trap advantage is real but the dog may not be good enough to capitalise at A8.
Recent form well below competitive level. No realistic chance in this company.
T5 dominates at 25.7% in Newcastle A8 480m from 214 runs. T2 is the weakest at 14.3%. Composite R1 wins only 21.2% and R3 wins 21.4% — essentially flat, meaning the model provides limited separation. Fair galloping track at middle grade — speed and recent form matter most.
T1:18.9% T2:14.3% T3:20.9% T4:18.0% T5:25.7% T6:18.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Coolemore Gang | 46 | 73 | Closer |
2Ratchies Rasmus | 41 | 100 | Closer |
3A Bit Of Theo | 55 | 36 | Fader |
4Alnwick Nuke | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Kathys Gift | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6El Stuey | 49 | 27 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coolemore Gang | 0.610 | 0.629 |
| 2 | Ratchies Rasmus | — | 0.624 |
| 3 | A Bit Of Theo | — | 0.634 |
| 4 | Alnwick Nuke | — | 0.634 |
| 5 | Kathys Gift | 0.613 | 0.630 |
| 6 | El Stuey | 0.621 | 0.639 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.