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PGR on Sky Sports Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Emers Tysond 3y 6 | J Walton — 13% R72 W9 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 47 (4) | 50 (2) | 63 (1) | 74 (1) | 43 (4) | 57 (1) | 25 (6) | 53 (4) | 33 (6) | 33 (6) | 28 | 32 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 47 | 3 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Solway Splashb 2y 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 52 (4) | 63 (1) | 21 (6) | 28 (4) | 43 (4) | 56 (5) | 44 (2) | 36 (4) | 53 (4) | - | 34 | 25 | 5 | 17 | 44 | 42 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Killeacle Deniseb 2y 15 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 39 | 42 (5) | 58 (1) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 17 (6) | 42 (3) | 39 (6) | 34 (5) | 50 (2) | 49 (5) | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Solway Breezeb 1y 6 | D Little — 22% R108 W24 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 61 (2) | 63 (2) | 43 (6) | 34 (6) | 39 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | 20 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 41 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ A Bit Of Savanab 2y 19 | S Ray — 15% R411 W62 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 60 | 60 (2) | 50 (3) | 42 (6) | 48 (5) | 57 (3) | 57 (3) | 60 (3) | 55 (4) | 61 (2) | 60 (2) | 23 | 27 | 17 | 18 | 54 | 45 | 2 | 1/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Emmas Teddyb 2y 7 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W84 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 55 | 32 (6) | 56 (2) | 44 (5) | 48 (3) | 39 (5) | 59 (2) | 47 (5) | 68 (1) | 44 (5) | 43 (5) | 27 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 46 | 41 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
The selection, combining the key signals at Newcastle 480m A6: speed rank 1 (58), the best first-bend rating in the field (60), and drawn in trap 5 which is the best-performing box at A6 here at 19.9% from 326 runs. A Fader with excellent early pace (59) who will be prominent from the gates and take a prominent position through the first bend. Recent A6 form has been consistent — second last time out on June 6 (P60), second in May, and she was running at A4 and A5 grade earlier in the year showing she has the class for this level. The bend rating of 60 is the highest in the field, which matters at Newcastle where the first bend off the home straight is a key part of the circuit. Speed rank 1 at a fair galloping track is the strongest single predictor, and pairing it with the best trap for this grade makes a compelling case. Trainer S Ray has a 22% win rate — solid awareness.
Danger: two consecutive solid second-place finishes at the relevant grade and distance. Best recent form record in the race — likely to finish in the frame again.
Composite leader but two consecutive fourths at A6 grade raises questions about his ceiling here. Closer style suits the long straight but the A6 form is unconvincing.
Competitive at A6/A7 level with a recent win, decent speed, but modest trap draw. Place candidate rather than pick.
A8 form was solid but A7 last time was unconvincing. Stepping up to A6 from a low suitability base is a stretch.
Worst trap draw for A6 at Newcastle combined with a poor last run. Hard to recommend until the form improves.
Very flat trap bias across T1-T5 (17-20%) with only T6 significantly weaker at 15.3%. Composite R1 wins 21.4% — respectable for middle grade. Speed R1 and composite R1 are on the same dog (A Bit Of Savana) from the best-performing trap (T5). Newcastle A6 middle grade shows 28% composite R1 hit rate — better than most tracks.
T1:19.0% T2:17.2% T3:19.0% T4:17.9% T5:19.9% T6:15.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Emers Tyson | 46 | 56 | Closer |
2Solway Splash | 49 | 57 | Closer |
3Killeacle Denise | 41 | 59 | Closer |
4Solway Breeze | 51 | 42 | All-Rounder |
5A Bit Of Savana | 59 | 44 | Fader |
6Emmas Teddy | 53 | 36 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emers Tyson | — | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Solway Splash | 0.612 | 0.621 | — |
| 3 | Killeacle Denise | 0.624 | 0.626 | 0.574 |
| 4 | Solway Breeze | — | 0.624 | — |
| 5 | A Bit Of Savana | — | 0.619 | — |
| 6 | Emmas Teddy | — | 0.622 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.