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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fruity Fantab 2yREP 35 | D Blackbird — 17% R1111 W187 P612 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 18 | 35 | 40 (3) | 27 (5) | 37 (3) | 30 (5) | 41 (4) | 41 (2) | 39 (2) | 41 (6) | 43 (3) | 30 (6) | 18 | 22 | - | 17 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ A Bit Of Trudyb 1yREP 13 | S Ray — 15% R411 W62 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | 30 | 47 (5) | 50 (2) | 50 (2) | 35 (6) | 45 (2) | 42 (3) | 29 (4) | 37 (4) | 42 (2) | - | 1 | 25 | - | 26 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Proud Oneb 1yREP 6 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 50 | 42 (5) | 56 (3) | 37 (5) | 41 (6) | 73 (1) | 51 (3) | 61 (1) | 72 (1) | 71 (1) | 56 (1) | 31 | 38 | - | 32 | 52 | 42 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Adrianab 3yREP 38 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W84 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 83 | 66 | 78 (2) | 87 (1) | 70 (2) | 46 (5) | 64 (4) | 90 (1) | 55 (5) | 65 (4) | 60 (4) | 70 (2) | 21 | 33 | - | 42 | 71 | 47 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mossend Buted 2yREP 3 | B J Mcphillips — 20% R65 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 73 | 56 (3) | 57 (4) | 67 (2) | 72 (2) | 58 (4) | 54 (5) | 26 (5) | 71 (4) | 74 (5) | - | 20 | 14 | - | 17 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 11/10F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Inca Tailorb 3yREP 7 | P Singlewood — 19% R129 W25 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 80 | 50 | 88 (1) | 54 (5) | 76 (1) | 77 (1) | 75 (1) | 63 (3) | 82 (1) | 68 (3) | 17 (3) | 51 (3) | 44 | 32 | - | 54 | 70 | 68 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
The selection. Won at A2 grade just last week with a performance of 88 — genuinely outstanding form that places her among the best in this race by a comfortable margin. The form sequence reads 88, 76, 77, 75, which shows remarkable consistency at the top level, punctuated only by a poor run in a handicap at Newcastle three weeks ago where she finished fifth. She is an All-Rounder who gets away well enough from the traps and has a settled, mature racing style. Trap 6 in handicap races here shows 20% — a solid enough draw, clearly superior to traps 4 and 5 where her two main rivals are stationed. Critically, she is race-fit and in career form right now, not carrying a fitness question mark. The handicap weight will be heavy but her recent dominance at A2 makes her the clear logical choice.
Danger: raw talent is well above this field but trap 4 is a handicap liability and ten-week absence raises fitness concerns.
Bottom of the field on ability, only merit is the trap 1 draw advantage in handicap races.
Consistent but limited — outclassed by the better runners, decent draw but not enough quality.
Grade drop from A6 but current form is mediocre. Fader will lead early then be headed.
Solid form but worst handicap draw combined with Closer style — structural disadvantage too great.
Handicap race trap bias is sharply different from graded events: T1 dominates at 22.6% and T4/T5 are the worst draws at 12.3% and 11.2%. Composite model is weak (R1 only 18.8%) — draw and recent form are the primary factors here.
T1:22.6% T2:20.1% T3:17.3% T4:12.3% T5:11.2% T6:20.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fruity Fanta | 42 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2A Bit Of Trudy | 43 | 53 | All-Rounder |
3Proud One | 57 | 33 | Fader |
4Fabulous Adriana | 71 | 44 | Fader |
5Mossend Bute | 19 | 100 | Closer |
6Inca Tailor | 58 | 82 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 435m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fruity Fanta | — | — | 0.632 |
| 2 | A Bit Of Trudy | — | — | 0.630 |
| 3 | Proud One | — | — | 0.626 |
| 4 | Fabulous Adriana | — | — | 0.607 |
| 5 | Mossend Bute | — | 0.599 | 0.612 |
| 6 | Inca Tailor | — | — | 0.612 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.