| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Daniel Maxib 4y 25 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 24 (3) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 31 (1) | 26 (2) | 26 (3) | 37 | 36 | 55 | 44 | 28 | 29 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Queen Ninab 2y 6 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 30 (2) | 20 (6) | 27 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (5) | 30 (2) | 34 (2) | 33 (3) | 25 (4) | 23 (5) | 32 | 38 | 45 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 4 | 1/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Speedy Stellab 5y 19 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 32 (1) | 29 (1) | 26 (2) | 24 (4) | 31 (1) | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 31 (1) | 29 (6) | - | 31 | 29 | 25 | 50 | 27 | 30 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Zaconey Venusb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 55 (2) | 26 (6) | 70 (2) | 55 (3) | 64 (2) | 27 (4) | 35 (1) | 46 (2) | - | - | 32 | 31 | 12 | 30 | 42 | 29 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Coola Vegab 3y 27 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 55 (2) | 50 (2) | 22 (5) | 43 (3) | 21 (4) | 39 (6) | 50 (5) | 69 (1) | 63 (1) | 46 (3) | 33 | 35 | - | - | 22 | 15 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Queen Babsb 4y 45 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 37 (5) | 49 (4) | 58 (1) | 37 (4) | 22 (5) | 23 (3) | 16 (6) | 18 (6) | 24 (4) | 31 (1) | 25 | 27 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 21 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Queen Nina | 16.51 | 16.79 | 16.47 | 59 | -0.04 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Speedy Stella | 16.65 | 16.97 | 16.55 | 53 | -0.10 | ||
| 1 | Daniel Maxi | 16.66 | 16.87 | 16.84 | 51 | +0.18 | ||
| 4 | Zaconey Venus | 16.72 | 16.80 | 16.68 | 52 | -0.04 | ||
| 6 | Queen Babs | 16.82 | 17.00 | 16.87 | 45 | +0.05 | Back after 91 days | |
| 5 | Coola Vega | 17.07 | 17.13 | 17.03 | 36 | -0.04 | Worst trap for the grade |
Kinsley's 268-metre dash is a downhill sprint where the early exchanges settle the race almost immediately, so the dogs who break fastest and get to the rail first have the upper hand. The blue jacket, red jacket and black jacket have all shown early pace in recent starts, so the opening 50 yards should be scrappy. If Queen Nina breaks as sharply as her recent clock suggests, she gets first run into the bend; Speedy Stella, drawn in the best trap on the card for this grade, will be looking to cut across from the white jacket. Whoever leads into the bend is hard to pass on this circuit, so today's placings are likely to be decided in the first three strides.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock — quickest best time, quickest average and the quickest last-time run of anyone here, a clean sweep across the speed figures. Form has been steady rather than spectacular, with a placed effort last time out, but at a downhill sprint like this the clock tends to matter more than the bare result. Her trainer wins better than one in five in these exact conditions, comfortably the best trainer record in the race. The blue jacket isn't the standout draw, but with speed this clear cut and a trainer in form, that's a secondary concern. The fastest dog in a sprint — when the speed and the ratings agree at this distance, that's the strongest signal there is.
In good form, winning two of her last six and never finishing worse than fourth in that run. Drawn in the white jacket, which is the standout box at this grade and trip — roughly one in four winners here come from trap three. Her trainer's record in these conditions is modest at 13%, and on the clock she's a shade off the sharpest dog in the race, but the trap edge alone makes her competitive. Shows early pace, which suits a track where the leaders are rarely caught. A fair alternative to the top of the market, with the draw doing plenty of the work.
Consistent without being spectacular — two wins and two placed efforts from his last six, with nothing finishing worse than fourth. The red jacket is a fair rather than outstanding draw at this grade, and his trainer's 15% strike rate in these conditions is unremarkable. Not the quickest in the field on the clock, sitting a little behind the pace-setters on both best and last-time figures. Shows early pace and should get a look at the front, but the two dogs drawn either side look faster.
Drops back in trip after a string of runs at the longer four-bend distance, where she was competitive without winning — placed in four of her last six starts there. Her finishing kick is a real asset over the longer trip, but that profile is less useful over a sharp downhill dash where the race is largely won in the opening strides. Her average time actually leads this field, so the raw pace is there even if it's not been proven at this exact trip recently. Her trainer's 11% strike rate in these conditions is on the low side. Respected by the ratings but the finishing-kick profile is an awkward fit for the trip.
Been running well without winning at the longer trip in recent weeks, twice finishing second, but she's back at this shorter sprint now and the clock puts her at the bottom of this field — the slowest best time and slowest average of the six. The orange jacket compounds the problem: it's the weakest draw at this grade and trip by some distance, winning barely one in ten. Her trainer's 11% record here doesn't offer much encouragement either. A tough conditions-plus-speed combination to overcome.
Back after a lengthy 91 days off, with her last outing at the longer trip back in April. There's been a big grade drop since then — she was racing two grades higher before the break — so ability shouldn't be the issue if she's retained her sharpness. Her trainer's 22% strike rate in these conditions is one of the better records in the race, some compensation for the layoff. The black jacket is a workable draw. A watching brief on fitness after such a long absence, but the class drop is a clear positive.
Key insight: The white jacket is the standout draw at this grade and trip, winning more than one in four historically.
White jacket (trap three) strongest at 26%, orange (trap five) weakest at just 10%
1,985 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Maxi | 0.629 | — |
| 2 | Queen Nina | 0.627 | — |
| 3 | Speedy Stella | 0.633 | — |
| 4 | Zaconey Venus | 0.627 | 0.629 |
| 5 | Coola Vega | 0.639 | 0.630 |
| 6 | Queen Babs | 0.634 | 0.635 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.